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World Cup: Longest Penalty Shootout
kalshi

World Cup: Longest Penalty Shootout

Volume:
$81,089

6+ rounds

 - Kalshi

6+ rounds - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 20, 2026

Closed: Jun 30, 10:53 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

6+ rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,829
N/A
N/A
$1,598
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7+ rounds

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$44,852
N/A
N/A
$23,236
Settled
No
kalshi

10+ rounds

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,320
N/A
N/A
$4,987
Settled
No
kalshi

8+ rounds

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,171
N/A
N/A
$4,878
Settled
No
kalshi

12+ rounds

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,827
N/A
N/A
$6,619
Settled
No
kalshi

11+ rounds

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,765
N/A
N/A
$4,743
Settled
No
kalshi

9+ rounds

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,518
N/A
N/A
$2,744
Settled
No
kalshi

13+ rounds

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$807
N/A
N/A
$791
Settled
No
Total markets: 8

Description

This event tracks whether a penalty shootout during the knockout stage of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup will extend to at least 6 rounds, with multiple conditions tied to increasingly longer shootout lengths. A penalty shootout reaches additional rounds when teams remain tied after regulation and extra time, with each round consisting of one penalty kick per team. The market measures the longest penalty shootout that occurs throughout the entire knockout phase of the tournament.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the longest penalty shootout by round count occurring in the knockout stage of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup. A round is defined as one penalty kick taken by each team in sequence. If no knockout-stage matches are decided by penalty shootout, all markets resolve to No.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-time trader sentiment and aggregate information from thousands of participants, often capturing signals faster than traditional analyst forecasts. While sports analysts may rely on historical penalty shootout data and team composition, prediction markets incorporate live betting flows and evolving tournament dynamics. Comparing Kalshi odds to published expert predictions can reveal whether the market is pricing in factors analysts have overlooked, or conversely, whether analyst consensus diverges from crowd expectations on shootout length.

The World Cup: Longest Penalty Shootout market on Kalshi resolves on Jul 20, 2026, after the conclusion of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup knockout stage. Resolution is determined by identifying the longest penalty shootout that occurs during knockout matches—from the Round of 16 through the final—and confirming whether it reaches at least 6 rounds. The outcome is binary: the contract settles based on whether that maximum shootout length meets or exceeds the 6-round threshold.

Several factors could shift odds on this market before Jul 20, 2026. Early tournament results revealing high-scoring matches or dominant teams may reduce shootout likelihood, while unexpected upsets and close group-stage finishes could increase it. Team roster announcements, goalkeeper form, and historical penalty-taking records of qualified nations will influence trader expectations. As the tournament progresses and knockout matches unfold, each shootout result—especially any that approaches or exceeds 6 rounds—will immediately reprrice the market based on remaining knockout fixtures.