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World Cup: Haiti Stage of Elimination
kalshi
polymarket

World Cup: Haiti Stage of Elimination

Volume:
$144,611

Group Stage

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 25, 2026

Closed: Jun 24, 12:14 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Group Stage

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$52,698
N/A
N/A
$38,616
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Group Stage

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$15,314
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Quarterfinals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19,039
N/A
N/A
$18,333
Settled
No
polymarket

Quarterfinals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,085
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Round of 16

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,625
N/A
N/A
$11,364
Settled
No
polymarket

Round of 16

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,219
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Round of 32

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,028
N/A
N/A
$8,798
Settled
No
polymarket

Round of 32

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,511
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Outright Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,074
N/A
N/A
$10,981
Settled
No
polymarket

Champion

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$969
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Runner-Up

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,959
N/A
N/A
$7,863
Settled
No
polymarket

Final

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$467
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Semifinals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,785
N/A
N/A
$4,785
Settled
No
polymarket

Semifinals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$838
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

This event group tracks at which stage Haiti will be eliminated from the 2026 FIFA Men's World Cup, or whether Haiti will win the tournament. Both Kalshi and Polymarket offer markets on Haiti's elimination stage, with Polymarket providing a comprehensive set of mutually exclusive outcome options (Group Stage, Round of 32, Round of 16, Quarterfinals, Semifinals, Final, Champion, or Other).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Kalshi and Polymarket resolve based on Haiti's furthest stage reached in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, with identical handling of edge cases including disqualification, withdrawal, and tournament disruption.Primary resolution logic: Official FIFA records (fifa.com) with credible reporting consensus as secondary source

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution occurs when Haiti is eliminated from the tournament or wins the final
  • Elimination stage is determined by the round in which Haiti loses or is removed
  • If Haiti wins the tournament, market resolves to Champion/Yes
  • If Haiti is disqualified, withdraws, or removed, resolution is based on the furthest completed round reached
  • Tournament stages in order: Group Stage, Round of 32, Round of 16, Quarterfinals, Semifinals, Final, Champion

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Tournament Cancellation: If 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full or postponed after August 2, 2026 11:59 PM ET, Polymarket resolves to Other; Kalshi resolution criteria do not explicitly address this scenario but would follow furthest completed round
  • Disqualification or Withdrawal: If Haiti is disqualified or withdraws, resolution is based on the furthest completed round reached by Haiti at time of disqualification or withdrawal
  • Partial Tournament Completion: If tournament is not finished for any reason, resolution follows the best available official information regarding Haiti's furthest completed round
Timing: Resolution occurs upon completion of the match or round in which Haiti is eliminated, or upon conclusion of the Final if Haiti reaches it. Final resolution deadline is tied to tournament completion or August 2, 2026 11:59 PM ET cutoff for cancellation/postponement classification.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Haiti is eliminated. If Haiti wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Haiti is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Haiti based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

Haiti's stage of elimination is determined by the furthest round reached before losing or being removed from competition. If Haiti fails to advance past the group stage, the Group Stage market resolves to Yes. If Haiti advances but loses in the Round of 32, that market resolves to Yes. Progression continues through Round of 16, Quarterfinals, Semifinals, and Final stages. A loss in the Semifinals results in Yes for the Semifinals market regardless of third-place match outcome. If Haiti withdraws, forfeits, or is disqualified at any point, their elimination stage is determined by the farthest stage previously reached; for example, withdrawal after a Round of 32 victory means the Round of 16 market resolves to Yes. If Haiti wins the Final, the Outright Winner market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates real-time odds and trading activity for Haiti's elimination stage across Polymarket and Kalshi, two leading decentralized prediction markets. It tracks which round Haiti will exit the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, capturing consensus probability across platforms and 24-hour trading volume. By monitoring both venues simultaneously, you see how different market participants price Haiti's tournament longevity, from group stage elimination through deeper knockout rounds. The aggregated view reveals where smart money is concentrated and identifies divergences between platforms that may signal shifting expectations.

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi operate without traditional sportsbook margins, allowing odds to reflect pure crowd consensus. Sportsbooks build in profit margins and may adjust lines based on liability rather than true probability. For Haiti's World Cup elimination stage, prediction market odds tend to update faster in response to team news, injuries, and qualification results, since traders profit directly from accuracy. Comparing the two reveals whether bookmakers are pricing Haiti's chances more conservatively or aggressively than decentralized market participants.

Key catalysts include Haiti's 2026 World Cup qualifying results and final seeding, roster announcements and injury updates to star players, coaching changes or tactical shifts, performance in warm-up friendlies, and draws revealing Haiti's group opponents. Broader signals like FIFA rankings adjustments, regional confederation tournament outcomes, and betting market sentiment shifts will influence trader positioning. Real-time developments during the tournament—group stage results, goal differential, and head-to-head tiebreaker scenarios—will drive final price discovery as elimination approaches.