TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

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61%

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World Cup: Group of Champion
predict

World Cup: Group of Champion

Volume:
$9,500

Group H (Cape Verde, Uruguay, Spain, Saudi Arabia)

 - Predict

Group H (Cape Verde, Uruguay, Spain, Saudi Arabia) - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 20, 2026

Closed: Jul 19, 8:44 PM EST

predict

Predict

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

Group H (Cape Verde, Uruguay, Spain, Saudi Arabia)

View
100%
Yes 99.9¢No 0.1¢
—
$1,798
$3,298
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Group I (Senegal, Norway, France, Iraq)

View
100%
Yes 99.6¢No 0.4¢
—
N/A
$715
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Group L (England, Ghana, Croatia, Panama)

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
N/A
$274
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Group C (Scotland, Brazil, Haiti, Morocco)

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
N/A
$8
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Group J (Algeria, Jordan, Argentina, Austria)

View
1%
Yes 0.9¢No 99.1¢
—
$11,961
$1,166
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Group K (Colombia, Congo DR, Portugal, Uzbekistan)

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$2,065
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Group D (Paraguay, Türkiye, USA, Australia)

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$1,867
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Group A (Mexico, South Korea, South Africa, Czechia)

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$84
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Group F (Tunisia, Japan, Netherlands, Sweden)

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$23
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Group B (Canada, Qatar, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Switzerland)

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Group E (Curaçao, Ecuador, Germany, Ivory Coast)

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Group G (New Zealand, Iran, Egypt, Belgium)

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 12

Description

This market will resolve according to the group from which the winning national team of the 2026 FIFA World Cup originated in the group stage. For example, if a team drawn into Group A wins the tournament, this market will resolve to “Group A”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Predict

This market will resolve according to the group from which the winning national team of the 2026 FIFA World Cup originated in the group stage. For example, if a team drawn into Group A wins the tournament, this market will resolve to “Group A”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Predict often diverge from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect real-time trader sentiment rather than fixed bookmaker lines. Sportsbooks adjust odds to manage liability and profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate decentralized belief across thousands of participants. For the 2026 World Cup Group E champion question, prediction markets may price Group E nations higher or lower than major sportsbooks depending on recent team developments, public betting patterns, and liquidity shifts. Comparing Predict odds to major sportsbooks helps identify whether the crowd is more or less bullish on Group E's chances than professional oddsmakers.

On Predict, the World Cup: Group of Champion market is priced as a binary outcome: will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group E? On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the collective probability assigned by traders, displayed as an implied percentage. As new information emerges—such as qualifying results, squad announcements, or odds shifts at traditional sportsbooks—traders buy and sell shares to adjust the price. Higher trading volume typically narrows the bid-ask spread and increases price accuracy, while lower volume can widen spreads and create larger price swings on smaller trades.

The World Cup: Group of Champion market resolves on Jul 20, 2026, following the conclusion of the 2026 FIFA World Cup final. The outcome is determined by which nation wins the tournament; if that champion nation is part of Group E, the market resolves affirmatively. If a nation from any other group wins, it resolves negatively. Resolution occurs after the final match is completed and the official winner is confirmed by FIFA, ensuring clarity and finality for all traders.

Several catalysts could shift odds for a Group E World Cup champion. Qualifying match results and final group assignments will clarify which nations land in Group E and their strength relative to other groups. Key player injuries, transfers, or coaching changes within Group E nations will alter perceived tournament viability. Friendly match performances and pre-tournament form heading into 2026 will influence trader confidence. Odds movements at major sportsbooks often precede prediction market repricing. Additionally, early tournament results—particularly Group E's own matches—will provide concrete evidence of team quality and dramatically reshape the probability of a Group E nation lifting the trophy.