TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$87,997,338

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,395,155,069

395,664

Markets across

30,076

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,626

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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World Cup: Group L Second Place
polymarket
predict

World Cup: Group L Second Place

Volume:
$20,899

Croatia

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 28, 2026

Closed: Jul 11, 11:59 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Croatia

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$7,562
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Croatia

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$31
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

England

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,089
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

England

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ghana

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,031
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Ghana

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$9
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Panama

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,178
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Panama

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Country E

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

This event group resolves to whichever team finishes in second place in Group L of the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage (June 11-27, 2026). Both platforms offer binary markets on individual teams (Croatia, Panama, England, Ghana) plus an 'Other' catch-all option to cover all possible second-place finishers.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms use identical resolution criteria, tiebreak procedures, cancellation thresholds, and primary source (FIFA official records).Primary resolution logic: Official FIFA information (https://www.fifa.com/); consensus of credible reporting as secondary source

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution occurs when one team is officially declared as finishing second in Group L after all group stage matches conclude
  • If multiple teams tie for second place, FIFA's official tiebreak procedure determines the winner
  • Each binary market (Croatia, Panama, England, Ghana) resolves YES if that team finishes second; NO otherwise
  • The 'Other' market resolves YES if any team not explicitly listed finishes second
  • All markets resolve to 'Other' if group stage is cancelled, postponed beyond July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no second-place team is declared

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Tied Second Place: If multiple teams tie on points, goal differential, and goals scored, FIFA's official tiebreak procedure (including head-to-head record, fair play points, and drawing of lots if necessary) determines which team is officially second
  • Group Stage Cancellation: If the 2026 World Cup group stage is cancelled entirely or postponed beyond July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, all markets resolve to 'Other'
  • No Second Place Declared: If for any reason no second-place team is officially declared within the specified timeframe, all markets resolve to 'Other'
  • Unlisted Team Finishes Second: If a team not explicitly listed (Croatia, Panama, England, Ghana) finishes second, the 'Other' market resolves YES and all team-specific markets resolve NO
Timing: Resolution occurs after all Group L matches conclude and FIFA officially declares final group standings, no later than July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ETOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the team that finishes second in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie for second place, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no second-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Predict

This market will resolve according to the team that finishes second in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie for second place, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no second-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates real-time odds and trading activity for the World Cup Group L second-place finisher across Polymarket and Predict. It displays consensus probability estimates, 24-hour volume metrics, and live price movements as traders position ahead of the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage. By tracking both platforms simultaneously, you gain a cross-market view of which teams the prediction market community favors to finish second in Group L, helping you identify where smart money is flowing and spot pricing discrepancies between venues.

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Predict operate independently from traditional sportsbooks, often reflecting different liquidity pools, trader demographics, and risk appetites. While sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract margin, prediction markets aggregate distributed beliefs through continuous trading. For World Cup Group L second place, prediction market odds may diverge from sportsbook lines due to different information sets, time horizons, and the absence of traditional bookmaker spreads. Comparing both sources helps identify value and consensus shifts.

Key catalysts include team roster announcements, injury updates to star players, qualifying-round results that shift seeding, and pre-tournament friendlies revealing form. Coaching changes, tactical shifts, and draw-stage group composition will reshape expectations. As the tournament approaches, each group-stage match will trigger repricing: early wins or losses, goal-scoring trends, and head-to-head results directly influence second-place odds. Media narratives, betting syndicates' positioning, and late-breaking news about player availability will drive volatility on both Polymarket and Predict.