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World Cup: Group I Second Place
polymarket
predict

World Cup: Group I Second Place

Volume:
$17,630

Norway

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 26, 2026

Closed: Jul 11, 11:59 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Norway

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$9,920
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Norway

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

France

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,066
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

France

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Senegal

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,938
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Senegal

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$39
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Iraq

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$656
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Iraq

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Country E

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

This event group tracks which team will finish in second place in Group I of the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage (June 11-27, 2026). Both Polymarket and Predict platforms offer identical binary outcome markets for the same set of candidate countries: France, Norway, Iraq, Senegal, and an 'Other' catch-all option.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms use identical resolution criteria, tiebreak procedures, cancellation thresholds, and primary source authority.Primary resolution logic: Official FIFA information (https://www.fifa.com/); consensus of credible reporting as secondary source

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution occurs when Group I completes its group stage matches (scheduled June 11-27, 2026)
  • The team finishing in second place in the final Group I standings resolves the market to that country's name
  • If multiple teams tie for second place, the official 2026 FIFA World Cup tiebreak procedure determines the second-place finisher
  • If Group I stage is cancelled or postponed beyond July 11, 2026 11:59 PM ET with no second-place team declared, all markets resolve to 'Other'
  • The 'Other' option captures any country not explicitly listed (France, Norway, Iraq, Senegal) that finishes second

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Tie for Second Place: Official FIFA tiebreak procedure applies (goal differential, goals scored, head-to-head record, etc.). Market resolves to the team determined as second by this procedure.
  • Cancellation or Postponement: If Group I stage is cancelled or postponed after July 11, 2026 11:59 PM ET with no second-place team officially declared, all markets resolve to 'Other'.
  • Unlisted Country Finishes Second: If a country other than France, Norway, Iraq, or Senegal finishes second in Group I, the 'Other' market resolves YES; all country-specific markets resolve NO.
  • Resolution Deadline: July 11, 2026 11:59 PM ET is the hard deadline for official second-place determination. No resolution occurs after this date unless a second-place team has been declared.
Timing: Resolution occurs upon official completion and publication of Group I final standings by FIFA, expected by June 27, 2026; hard deadline for resolution is July 11, 2026 11:59 PM ETOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the team that finishes second in Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie for second place, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no second-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Predict

This market will resolve according to the team that finishes second in Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie for second place, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no second-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Predict often reflect different risk profiles and trader bases than traditional sportsbooks. Prediction markets tend to aggregate dispersed information from many participants and can move faster on breaking news, team injuries, or lineup changes. Sportsbooks, by contrast, set odds to manage liability and profit margins. For World Cup Group I second place, comparing prediction market consensus to major sportsbook lines can reveal mispricings, especially as the tournament approaches and new information emerges about squad composition and tactical setups.

Key catalysts include squad announcements and injury updates for Group I nations, pre-tournament friendlies and form trends, and official FIFA seeding or group composition changes. As the tournament begins, each group match result directly reshapes second-place odds—wins, draws, and losses alter points and goal differential instantly. Late-stage matches carry the most weight; a final-day result can swing the second-place finisher dramatically. Monitor team news, coaching changes, and betting-market moves on other Group I outcomes, as they often signal shifting expectations for the runner-up spot.