TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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World Cup: Group F Second Place
polymarket
predict

World Cup: Group F Second Place

Volume:
$11,823

Japan

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 26, 2026

Closed: Jul 11, 11:59 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Japan

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6,332
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Japan

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Netherlands

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,458
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Netherlands

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$917
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Sweden

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,174
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Sweden

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Tunisia

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$928
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Tunisia

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Country E

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

This event group resolves to whichever team finishes in second place in Group F of the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage (June 11–27, 2026). The markets track individual country outcomes (Sweden, Japan, Netherlands, Tunisia) plus catch-all options for ties or other scenarios, with resolution tied to official FIFA standings and tiebreak procedures.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms use identical resolution criteria, timing windows, tiebreak procedures, and fallback logic with no material divergence.Primary resolution logic: Official FIFA information (https://www.fifa.com/); credible reporting consensus as secondary source

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution occurs when Group F completes all matches in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage (June 11–27, 2026)
  • The team finishing in second place in the final Group F standings resolves the market to that team's name
  • If two or more teams tie on points for second place, the official FIFA tiebreak procedure (goal differential, goals scored, head-to-head record, etc.) determines the second-place team
  • Individual country markets (Sweden, Japan, Netherlands, Tunisia) resolve YES if that country finishes second; NO otherwise
  • Catch-all "Other" option resolves YES only if the group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no second-place team is officially declared

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Tied Teams for Second Place: If multiple teams tie on points for second place, the official 2026 FIFA World Cup tiebreak procedure applies (goal differential, goals scored, head-to-head record, disciplinary record, etc.) to determine the single second-place finisher
  • Group Stage Cancellation or Postponement: If the World Cup group stage is cancelled or postponed beyond July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other"
  • No Second-Place Declaration: If no second-place team is officially declared for Group F within the resolution window, the market resolves to "Other"
  • Source Conflict: If FIFA official sources and credible reporting consensus diverge, FIFA official information (fifa.com) takes precedence
Timing: Resolution occurs upon completion of all Group F matches in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage (scheduled June 11–27, 2026). Final resolution deadline is July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Markets must resolve within this window or default to "Other".Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the team that finishes second in Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie for second place, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no second-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Predict

This market will resolve according to the team that finishes second in Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie for second place, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no second-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates real-time odds and trading activity for which team will finish second in Group F of the 2026 FIFA World Cup across Polymarket and Predict. It displays the consensus probability for each contender, current market depth, and 24-hour volume across both platforms. By tracking prices side-by-side, you gain visibility into how professional traders and the broader prediction market community are positioning on Group F's second-place finisher. The aggregated view helps you spot emerging consensus and compare conviction levels between venues.

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Predict typically reflect real-time crowd sentiment and are updated continuously as new information emerges. Traditional sportsbooks adjust odds less frequently and build in larger margins. For Group F second place, prediction market odds often diverge from sportsbook lines because traders react faster to team news, injury reports, and qualifying-round results. Comparing the two can reveal arbitrage opportunities or signal where sharp money is moving ahead of official sportsbook adjustments.

Key catalysts include team roster announcements, qualifying-round upsets or dominant performances, and injury updates to star players in Group F. Tactical shifts, coaching changes, and pre-tournament friendlies provide early form signals. As the tournament approaches, each group match result directly reshapes second-place odds. Late-stage developments like player suspensions or surprise team selections can swing markets sharply. Monitor official FIFA communications and team news feeds for real-time impact on Group F positioning.