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World Cup: Group F Last Place
polymarket

World Cup: Group F Last Place

Volume:
$35,903

Tunisia

 - Polymarket

Tunisia - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 25, 2026

Closed: Jul 19, 11:59 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Tunisia

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$28,106
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Netherlands

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,401
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Japan

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,716
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Sweden

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,680
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Country E

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This market will resolve according to the team that finishes last place of Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie for bottom of the group, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no bottom-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the team that finishes last place of Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie for bottom of the group, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no bottom-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader sentiment rather than bookmaker margins. Sportsbooks typically build in a 4–5% edge and adjust lines to balance liability, while prediction markets aggregate decentralized bets with minimal overhead. For Group F last place, the prediction market may price Sweden's chances differently than major sportsbooks due to the depth of retail vs. professional trading activity. Comparing both sources reveals whether the crowd or professional oddsmakers view the outcome differently, offering arbitrage insight for sharp bettors.

The market resolves on Jul 20, 2026, after all group-stage matches in Group F have concluded. The outcome is determined by the official FIFA 2026 World Cup final group standings. The team with the lowest points total—calculated by wins, draws, and losses across three matches—finishes last. If two or more teams are tied on points, FIFA tiebreakers (goal difference, goals scored, head-to-head record) apply. Once the final standings are confirmed by FIFA, the corresponding last-place contract settles to 1 USD and all others to 0 USD.

Key catalysts include injury announcements to star players on Sweden, Serbia, Spain, or Italy; coaching changes or tactical shifts; and qualifying-round performance by other nations that signal group strength. Friendly match results in 2025–2026 will influence trader confidence in each team's form. Media narratives around squad depth, recent tournament results, and head-to-head history also drive price swings. As the World Cup approaches, each team's official squad announcement and pre-tournament friendlies become major price movers. Real-time odds will tighten as match day approaches and uncertainty resolves.