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World Cup: Group E Last Place
kalshi
polymarket
predict

World Cup: Group E Last Place

Volume:
$183,593

Curacao

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 26, 2026

Closed: Jun 25, 10:51 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Curacao

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$66,882
N/A
N/A
$39,281
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Curaçao

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$58,153
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Curaçao

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$14
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Ecuador

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$29,925
N/A
N/A
$18,637
Settled
No
polymarket

Ecuador

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,744
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Ecuador

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$646
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Germany

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,396
N/A
N/A
$7,171
Settled
No
polymarket

Germany

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,322
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Germany

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Ivory Coast

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,924
N/A
N/A
$6,689
Settled
No
polymarket

Ivory Coast

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,253
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Ivory Coast

View
N/A
N/A
—
$444
$1,334
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Country E

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 14

Description

This market will resolve according to the team that finishes last place of Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie for bottom of the group, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no bottom-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All three platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, Predict) apply identical resolution logic: the team finishing last in Group E per official FIFA standings, with tiebreak procedures applied, and a cancellation/postponement clause with a July 11, 2026 deadline.Primary resolution logic: Official FIFA information (https://www.fifa.com/); credible consensus reporting accepted as secondary source

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution occurs after all Group E matches are completed during the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage (June 11-27, 2026)
  • The team with the lowest final points total in Group E finishes last
  • If multiple teams tie on points, official FIFA tiebreak procedures apply in order: goal differential, goals scored, head-to-head record, and other FIFA-defined criteria
  • The four teams in Group E are Germany, Ecuador, Ivory Coast, and Curaçao
  • If the group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no bottom-place team is declared by that deadline, the market resolves to 'Other'

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Tied Points: If two or more teams finish with identical points, FIFA's official tiebreak procedure determines last place. This is applied sequentially: goal differential, then goals scored, then head-to-head record, then other FIFA criteria.
  • Cancellation or Postponement: If the World Cup group stage is cancelled or postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to 'Other' rather than any specific team.
  • No Resolution by Deadline: If no bottom-place team is officially declared by July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to 'Other'.
Timing: Resolution occurs after all Group E matches conclude (on or before June 27, 2026), with a hard deadline of July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET for official declaration. If unresolved by that deadline, the market resolves to 'Other'.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the team that finishes last place of Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie for bottom of the group, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no bottom-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

The team to finish bottom of Group E is determined by final group standings following all round-robin matches. Last place is defined as the team with the lowest points total. When two or more teams are tied on points for last place, FIFA's official tiebreaking procedures applicable to the 2026 World Cup determine the final group standings and identify which team finishes in last place.

Predict

This market will resolve according to the team that finishes last place of Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie for bottom of the group, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no bottom-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates real-time odds and trading activity for which team will finish last in Group E of the 2026 FIFA Men's World Cup across Polymarket and Kalshi. It displays consensus probability estimates, historical price movements, and trading volume to help you monitor how the market is pricing each team's elimination risk. By tracking multiple platforms simultaneously, you gain visibility into which outcomes are favored and how conviction shifts as new information emerges during the tournament group stage.

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi often reflect different risk appetites and liquidity profiles than traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract margin, prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs in real time. Group E last-place odds may diverge from sportsbook lines due to differences in market depth, trader composition, and how quickly each venue incorporates breaking news about team injuries, lineup changes, or tactical shifts ahead of matches.

Key catalysts include squad announcements, injury updates to star players, pre-tournament friendlies and form, official group draw confirmation, and real-time match results once the tournament begins. Tactical shifts, coaching changes, and betting syndicates repositioning large stakes can also trigger sharp price moves. As Group E matches unfold, each result narrows the field and reshapes elimination probabilities, so live trading during matches typically generates the most volatile price action.