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400,720

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World Cup: Group D Second Place
polymarket
predict

World Cup: Group D Second Place

Volume:
$94,596

Australia

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 26, 2026

Closed: Jul 11, 11:59 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Australia

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$68,630
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Australia

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$43
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Paraguay

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,354
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Paraguay

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Türkiye

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,782
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Türkiye

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

USA

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,775
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

USA

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Country E

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

These markets resolve based on which team finishes in second place in Group D of the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage (June 11-27, 2026). The event group covers multiple outcome options: Australia, USA, Türkiye, Paraguay, and a catch-all 'Other' category for any remaining possibilities or cancellation scenarios.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms use identical resolution criteria, timing windows, tiebreak procedures, and fallback logic with no material divergence.Primary resolution logic: Official FIFA information (https://www.fifa.com/); consensus of credible reporting as secondary source

Core resolution logic:

  • Market resolves to the team that finishes in second place in Group D of the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage
  • Group stage matches scheduled for June 11-27, 2026
  • If multiple teams tie for second place, official FIFA tiebreak procedure determines the winner
  • If group stage is cancelled or postponed after July 11, 2026 11:59 PM ET, market resolves to Other
  • If no second-place team is declared within the timeframe, market resolves to Other

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Tied Second Place: If two or more teams finish with identical points and goal differential, the official FIFA tiebreak procedure (goals scored, head-to-head record, etc.) determines which team is classified as second place
  • Group Stage Cancellation: If the entire group stage is cancelled or postponed beyond July 11, 2026 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to Other
  • No Resolution by Deadline: If no second-place team is officially declared by July 11, 2026 11:59 PM ET for any reason, the market resolves to Other
  • Country E Placeholder: Polymarket lists Country E as a potential outcome; this appears to be a placeholder for an unknown fifth team option and would resolve according to the same FIFA standings logic
Timing: Resolution occurs after the completion of all Group D matches in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage (expected by June 27, 2026), with a hard deadline of July 11, 2026 11:59 PM ET for official declarationOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the team that finishes second in Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie for second place, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no second-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Predict

This market will resolve according to the team that finishes second in Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie for second place, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no second-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Predict reflect real-time trader sentiment and are often more efficient than traditional sportsbooks because they aggregate distributed knowledge and allow continuous price discovery. Sportsbooks set fixed odds with built-in margins; prediction markets adjust dynamically as new information emerges. For World Cup Group D outcomes, prediction market prices may move faster in response to team news, injuries, or lineup changes. Comparing the two reveals whether the market consensus differs from bookmaker pricing, offering traders potential value opportunities before official odds adjust.

Key catalysts include team roster announcements, injury updates to star players, and qualifying match results that confirm Group D composition. Pre-tournament friendlies and training camp reports shape trader expectations about team form. During the group stage itself, each match result directly impacts standings and second-place odds. Tactical shifts, managerial changes, and head-to-head outcomes between Group D rivals will drive significant price movements. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and late-breaking news closer to kickoff can also influence market sentiment and trading volume.