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World Cup: Group B Last Place
polymarket
predict

World Cup: Group B Last Place

Volume:
$54,005

Qatar

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 25, 2026

Closed: Jul 19, 11:59 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Qatar

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$31,626
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Qatar

View
N/A
N/A
—
$450
$1
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Switzerland

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,802
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Switzerland

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Bosnia and Herzegovina

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,667
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Bosnia and Herzegovina

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Canada

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,907
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Canada

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Country E

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

This event group tracks which team will finish in last place (4th position) of Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage. Markets across Polymarket and Predict platforms offer binary outcomes on specific teams (Bosnia and Herzegovina, Canada, Qatar, Switzerland) plus catch-all options for other countries or tie scenarios.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Predict use identical resolution criteria, timing windows, tiebreak procedures, and cancellation thresholds with no material divergence.Primary resolution logic: Official FIFA information (https://www.fifa.com/); consensus of credible reporting as secondary source

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution determined by which team finishes in 4th place (last position) of Group B after all group stage matches conclude
  • Group stage scheduled for June 11-27, 2026
  • If multiple teams tie on points, official 2026 FIFA World Cup tiebreak procedure applies (goal differential, goals scored, head-to-head record, etc.)
  • Binary markets on specific teams (Bosnia and Herzegovina, Canada, Qatar, Switzerland) resolve YES if that team finishes last, NO otherwise
  • Catch-all 'Other' option resolves YES if any team not explicitly listed finishes last

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Tied Points for Last Place: If two or more teams finish with identical points, the official FIFA tiebreak procedure determines which team is ranked last. The market resolves according to that official ranking, not to multiple teams.
  • Group Stage Cancellation or Postponement: If the World Cup group stage is cancelled entirely or postponed beyond July 11, 2026 11:59 PM ET, all markets in this group resolve to 'Other'.
  • No Bottom-Place Team Declared: If for any reason no official last-place team is declared for Group B by the July 11, 2026 11:59 PM ET deadline, markets resolve to 'Other'.
  • Incomplete Group Stage: If the group stage is incomplete (matches not played) and cannot be completed by the deadline, markets resolve to 'Other'.
Timing: Resolution occurs after all Group B matches are completed and final standings are official (expected by June 27, 2026). Hard deadline for resolution is July 11, 2026 11:59 PM ET; if unresolved by then, markets resolve to 'Other'.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the team that finishes last place of Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie for bottom of the group, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no bottom-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Predict

This market will resolve according to the team that finishes last place of Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie for bottom of the group, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no bottom-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market data for World Cup Group B's last-place finisher across Polymarket and Predict. It displays real-time odds, consensus probabilities, and trading volume to show which team the market expects to finish fourth in the group. By tracking both platforms simultaneously, you gain a cross-market view of sentiment and can identify pricing discrepancies. The dashboard updates continuously as traders adjust positions based on team performance, injuries, and match outcomes throughout the group stage.

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Predict often reflect different risk profiles than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks build in fixed margins and may adjust odds more slowly; prediction markets respond instantly to trader activity and new information. For World Cup Group B last place, prediction market odds tend to be more efficient at pricing tail outcomes because retail and professional traders compete directly. However, sportsbooks may offer better liquidity on mainstream outcomes. Comparing both sources helps identify value and understand how different market structures price the same event.

Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Polymarket and Predict operate with different user bases, fee structures, and liquidity pools, causing temporary price divergence on World Cup Group B last place. Polymarket may attract traders focused on one team or region, while Predict draws a different demographic. Arbitrage opportunities emerge when one platform prices a team higher or lower than the other. These gaps typically close as alert traders exploit them, but during low-volume periods or around major match results, spreads can persist. Monitoring both platforms helps you spot mispricings and time entries strategically.

Key catalysts include team lineups, injury announcements, and head-to-head match results within Group B. A strong performance by an underdog or a surprise loss by a favorite can shift last-place odds dramatically. Coaching changes, tactical shifts, and player form leading into matches all influence trader sentiment. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and fixture scheduling may also matter. As matches progress, each result narrows the field and concentrates probability on remaining contenders. Monitor team news, training reports, and betting patterns across Polymarket and Predict to anticipate moves.