TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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World Cup Goals H2H: Salah vs. Mane
predict
limitless
polymarket

World Cup Goals H2H: Salah vs. Mane

Volume:
$2,354

World Cup Goals H2H: Salah vs. Mane

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 2, 2026

Closed: Jul 19, 11:59 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

World Cup Goals H2H: Salah vs. Mane

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,051
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

World Cup Goals H2H: Salah vs. Mane

N/A
N/A
—
$10
$302
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

Mainoo

N/A
N/A
99¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

Modrić

N/A
N/A
99¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

Tie

N/A
N/A
99¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event group contains two separate head-to-head goal-scoring comparisons at the 2026 FIFA World Cup: Salah vs. Mane (listed on Predict and Polymarket) and Mainoo vs. Modrić (listed on Limitless as three separate outcome markets). Both compare total goals scored by each player across all rounds of the main tournament.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Two distinct event groups with different cancellation deadlines (August 2 vs. July 31, 2026), different fallback resolutions (50-50 vs. Other), and incompatible market structures (binary vs. three-outcome). Salah/Mane markets are unified with each other but diverge from Mainoo/Modrić markets.Hero tip: Treat these as two separate event groups. For Salah/Mane: monitor for tournament postponement after August 2, 11:59 PM ET—if it occurs, both markets split 50-50 regardless of actual goal totals. For Mainoo/Modrić: the earlier July 31, 23:59 UTC deadline means resolution pressure is tighter; coordinate across three outcome markets to avoid partial resolution. Confirm player eligibility and participation status via FIFA.com at least 48 hours before each player's first match.

Critical divergence points:

  • Predict & Polymarket (Salah vs. Mane): Binary H2H structure with unified resolution: Salah wins if he scores strictly more goals; Mane wins otherwise; 50-50 on tie or if tournament cancelled/postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Withdrawal of either player resolves in favor of the opponent. Primary source: FIFA official results.
  • Limitless (Mainoo vs. Modrić): Three separate outcome markets (Mainoo, Tie, Modrić) instead of unified binary. Each resolves YES if condition met; resolves to Other if tournament cancelled/postponed after July 31, 2026, 23:59 UTC or goal totals unavailable. Primary source: FIFA.com with consensus reporting as fallback.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to “Salah” if Mohamed Salah scores more goals than Sadio Mane through all rounds of the main tournament at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Mane”. In the event of a tie this market will resolve to 50-50. If a player withdraws, or does not play for any reason, this market will resolve in favor of the opposing player. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined which player scored more goals within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be the official results published by FIFA.

Predict

This market will resolve to “Salah” if Mohamed Salah scores more goals than Sadio Mane through all rounds of the main tournament at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Mane”. In the event of a tie this market will resolve to 50-50. If a player withdraws, or does not play for any reason, this market will resolve in favor of the opposing player. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined which player scored more goals within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be the official results published by FIFA.

Limitless

This market will resolve to "YES" if Kobbie Mainoo scores a strictly greater number of goals than Luka Modrić across all matches at the 2026 FIFA World Cup main tournament. Goals scored in penalty shootouts do not count toward this market. This market will resolve as soon as both Kobbie Mainoo and Luka Modrić have completed their participation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup and official final goal totals are available. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, 23:59 UTC, or official final goal totals for Kobbie Mainoo and Luka Modrić are not available within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard aggregates real-time odds and trading activity for the Salah vs. Mane head-to-head goal comparison across Polymarket and Predict. It displays consensus probability estimates, cumulative trading volume, and price movements to show how prediction market participants collectively assess which player will score more goals during the World Cup. Cross-platform tracking reveals whether consensus is forming around one outcome or if meaningful divergence exists between venues, helping traders identify arbitrage opportunities and market sentiment shifts.

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Predict often reflect different risk profiles and liquidity than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks apply fixed margins and regulatory constraints, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs in real time with minimal friction. For the Salah vs. Mane matchup, prediction market odds may lead or lag sportsbook lines depending on which venue attracts more informed volume. Direct comparison requires checking both simultaneously, as prediction markets can offer sharper pricing when deep liquidity exists around this specific head-to-head outcome.

Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Polymarket and Predict may show different implied probabilities due to variations in user base composition, fee structures, and available liquidity depth. Polymarket's larger user base and trading volume can produce tighter spreads and faster price discovery, while Predict may attract traders with different information sets or risk appetites. Regulatory differences, withdrawal mechanics, and platform-specific incentives also influence how each venue prices the Salah vs. Mane head-to-head, creating temporary arbitrage windows that traders can exploit across both platforms.

Key catalysts include team roster announcements, injury updates affecting either player's availability or minutes, and early tournament performance. Strong goal-scoring runs by either Salah or Mane will shift market sentiment sharply. Tactical changes by their respective national teams, fixture difficulty, and knockout-stage advancement also influence scoring probability. Media narratives around form, competition for playing time, and head-to-head comparisons between the two players can trigger repricing. Late-tournament developments like eliminations or unexpected breakout performances will create final volatility before market resolution.