TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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predict

World Cup Goals H2H: Haaland vs. Alvarez

Volume:
$14,124

World Cup Goals H2H: Haaland vs. Alvarez

all

3 markets

Polymarket

Predict

Limitless

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 20, 2026

Closed: Jul 19, 11:59 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

World Cup Goals H2H: Haaland vs. Alvarez

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.6¢
N/A
$14,092
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

World Cup Goals H2H: Haaland vs. Alvarez

View
N/A
N/A
—
$80
$32
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

Tie

View
N/A
N/A
99¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

Haaland

View
N/A
N/A
99¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

Álvarez

View
N/A
N/A
99¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event group compares goal-scoring performance between Erling Haaland and Julián Álvarez at the 2026 FIFA World Cup main tournament. Markets across three platforms (Predict, Polymarket, and Limitless) resolve based on who scores more goals, with tie outcomes explicitly handled. The core comparison is straightforward, but resolution timing and cancellation thresholds differ slightly across platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation and postponement deadlines differ by approximately 1 day across platforms. Predict/Polymarket use August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET; Limitless uses July 31, 2026, 23:59 UTC. This creates a narrow window where resolution outcomes diverge.Hero tip: If you hold positions across platforms, note that a tournament postponement announced between July 31 UTC and August 2 ET will trigger different outcomes: Limitless pays "Other", while Predict/Polymarket pay 50-50 on all outcomes. This is a low-probability but high-impact edge case. Favor Predict/Polymarket if you believe late-July delays are possible.

Critical divergence points:

  • Predict & Polymarket: Identical resolution logic. Resolves to 50-50 on all outcomes if tournament cancelled or postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Resolves to 50-50 on all outcomes if goal totals cannot be determined by that deadline. Primary source: official FIFA results. Key Quote: "postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET"
  • Limitless: Resolves individual binary outcomes (Haaland, Álvarez, Tie) to "Other" if tournament cancelled or postponed after July 31, 2026, 23:59 UTC, or if official totals unavailable by that date. Primary source: FIFA.com with consensus credible reporting as fallback. Key Quote: "postponed after July 31, 2026, 23:59 UTC"
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to “Haaland” if Erling Haaland scores more goals than Julian Alvarez through all rounds of the main tournament at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Alvarez”. In the event of a tie this market will resolve to 50-50. If a player withdraws, or does not play for any reason, this market will resolve in favor of the opposing player. If both players do not play for any reason, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined which player scored more goals within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be the official results published by FIFA.

Predict

This market will resolve to “Haaland” if Erling Haaland scores more goals than Julian Alvarez through all rounds of the main tournament at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Alvarez”. In the event of a tie this market will resolve to 50-50. If a player withdraws, or does not play for any reason, this market will resolve in favor of the opposing player. If both players do not play for any reason, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined which player scored more goals within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be the official results published by FIFA.

Limitless

This market will resolve to "YES" if Erling Haaland scores a strictly greater number of goals than Julián Álvarez across all matches at the 2026 FIFA World Cup main tournament. Goals scored in penalty shootouts do not count toward this market. This market will resolve as soon as both Erling Haaland and Julián Álvarez have completed their participation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup and official final goal totals are available. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, 23:59 UTC, or official final goal totals for Erling Haaland and Julián Álvarez are not available within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

The World Cup Goals H2H: Haaland vs. Alvarez dashboard aggregates real-time odds and trading activity across Polymarket and Predict, showing which player is predicted to score more goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup. You can monitor consensus probability across platforms, track volume of $14,124 and 24-hour volume of $374, and compare how different prediction markets price this head-to-head matchup. The dashboard provides a unified view of market sentiment, helping traders and analysts spot divergences and track shifting expectations as the tournament approaches.

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Predict often reflect different risk profiles and liquidity than traditional sportsbooks. Prediction market participants trade based on their own conviction, creating prices that can lead or lag sportsbook lines depending on information flow and trader composition. For the Haaland vs. Alvarez goal race, prediction market odds may price in longer-term tournament dynamics and injury risk differently than sportsbooks, which typically adjust more frequently around official betting action. Comparing both sources helps identify where smart money is positioning ahead of the World Cup.

Key catalysts include team qualification outcomes, squad selection announcements, and pre-tournament injury reports for both Haaland and Alvarez. Playing time allocation, group stage draw difficulty, and coaching changes can shift goal-scoring expectations. Real-time tournament performance—early goals, assists, or injuries during matches—will drive significant repricing. Transfer news, form changes during domestic seasons, and betting syndicate positioning ahead of the World Cup may also trigger sharp moves. Monitor official team news and prediction market volume spikes for early signals of shifting consensus.