TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 19, 11:59 PM EST
Polymarket
This market compares goal contributions (goals + assists) between Federico Valverde and Bruno Fernandes during the 2026 FIFA World Cup main tournament. The market resolves to the player with more total contributions, with tie and non-participation scenarios explicitly defined.
This market will resolve to “Fede” if Federico Valverde records more goal contributions than Bruno Fernandes through all rounds of the main tournament at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Bruno”. In the event of a tie this market will resolve to 50-50. If a player withdraws, or does not play for any reason, this market will resolve in favor of the opposing player. If both players do not play for any reason, this market will resolve to 50-50.. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined which player scored more goals within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be the official results published by FIFA.
This market will resolve to “Fede” if Federico Valverde records more goal contributions than Bruno Fernandes through all rounds of the main tournament at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Bruno”. In the event of a tie this market will resolve to 50-50. If a player withdraws, or does not play for any reason, this market will resolve in favor of the opposing player. If both players do not play for any reason, this market will resolve to 50-50.. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined which player scored more goals within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be the official results published by FIFA.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price differences between Polymarket and Predict typically stem from variations in liquidity, user base composition, and trading activity timing. Polymarket may attract different trader demographics or have deeper order books for this specific matchup, leading to tighter or wider spreads. Regional access restrictions, platform fee structures, and settlement rule clarity can also influence how traders price the same outcome. Lower-volume venues sometimes lag price discovery, especially for niche player props like individual goal contributions. Monitoring both platforms helps identify temporary mispricings before they converge.
Key catalysts include team roster announcements, pre-tournament friendlies revealing playing time and form, injury updates to either player or their teammates, and tactical shifts by their national coaches. Starting lineup confirmation closer to the tournament will significantly reprrice the market. Early group-stage performances, goal-scoring streaks, and assist opportunities will drive continuous repricing throughout the competition. Changes in team attacking strategy, substitution patterns, or tournament advancement also influence expected contribution totals. Major injuries to key teammates or the players themselves could sharply shift odds. Monitor official team news and match results weekly for the most current market movements.