TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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World Cup: Germany Stage of Elimination
polymarket

World Cup: Germany Stage of Elimination

Volume:
$117,639

Round of 32

 - Polymarket

Round of 32 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 30, 2026

Closed: Jul 19, 3:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Round of 32

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$39,045
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Round of 16

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$48,339
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Quarterfinals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,410
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Champion

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,910
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Semifinals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,660
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Final

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,375
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Group Stage

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,900
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 8

Description

This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Germany is eliminated. If Germany wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Germany is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Germany based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Germany is eliminated. If Germany wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Germany is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Germany based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

The World Cup: Germany Stage of Elimination dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and historical price movements for whether Germany will be eliminated during the group stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. The dashboard displays current market probability, 24-hour trading volume measured in $61,447, and a complete price history showing how trader sentiment has evolved. Users can monitor the top outcome contract and observe order book depth to understand liquidity and conviction levels among prediction market participants betting on Germany's tournament fate.

The World Cup: Germany Stage of Elimination market resolves on Jul 19, 2026, after the conclusion of the group stage matches. Resolution is determined by Germany's final standing in their group and whether they advance to the knockout round or are eliminated. The market outcome hinges on Germany's results across all group stage fixtures, including wins, losses, draws, and goal differential relative to other teams in their bracket. Once the group stage concludes and final standings are official, the market settles based on whether Germany progresses or exits the tournament.

Key catalysts for price movement include Germany's performance in World Cup qualifying matches, injuries to star players, coaching changes, and tactical adjustments announced before the tournament. Friendly match results and team form in the months leading up to the World Cup will influence trader confidence. Group stage draw announcements revealing Germany's opponents will significantly impact odds, as will any roster changes or squad depth concerns. Real-time developments during group matches—goals, red cards, and results from competing teams—will drive continuous repricing as traders reassess elimination probability.