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24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

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$1,441,166,947

406,422

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30,383

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PLATFORM COVERAGE:

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World Cup: Furthest Advancing CONMEBOL Nation
predict
polymarket
limitless

World Cup: Furthest Advancing CONMEBOL Nation

Volume:
$90,860

Brazil

all

3 markets

Limitless

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 8, 2026

World Cup: Furthest Advancing South American Nation: Brazil

1%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
limitless

Trade on Limitless

At 1¢ buys you 10,000 shares | Odds: 1% Total Payout: $10,000 | Net Profit: $9,900 Multiplier: 100.00x | ROI: 9,900% APY not meaningful
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
limitless

Brazil

Trade
1%
Yes 0.6¢No 99.5¢
0.9¢
N/A
$196
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
polymarket

Brazil

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,316
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Brazil

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$779
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
0.5%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.8¢
Avg: 0.9¢Max: 0.9¢
limitless

Ecuador

Trade
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.3¢
N/A
$3,279
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
polymarket

Ecuador

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,754
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Ecuador

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
Avg: 0.3¢Max: 0.3¢
limitless

Uruguay

Trade
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.3¢
N/A
$2,341
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
polymarket

Uruguay

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,427
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Uruguay

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
Avg: 0.3¢Max: 0.3¢
limitless

Paraguay

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
0.2¢
N/A
$2,477
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
polymarket

Paraguay

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,217
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Paraguay

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$1,376
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
Avg: 0.2¢Max: 0.2¢
polymarket

Argentina

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$45,619
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
limitless

Argentina

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.7¢
N/A
$668
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Argentina

View
N/A
N/A
—
$821
$3,171
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Colombia

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,107
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

Colombia

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
0.6¢
N/A
$2,805
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Colombia

View
N/A
N/A
—
$10,199
$329
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Country A

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 20

Description

This event group determines which CONMEBOL (South American) nation advances furthest in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Markets across three platforms (Predict, Polymarket, Limitless) ask whether specific nations (Brazil, Argentina, Colombia, Uruguay, Ecuador, Paraguay) will be that furthest-advancing team, with identical tie-breaking criteria applied uniformly.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All three platforms (Predict, Polymarket, Limitless) employ identical resolution criteria, tie-breaking hierarchy, cancellation provisions, and source hierarchy with no material divergence.Primary resolution logic: Official FIFA information; consensus of credible reporting may be used as secondary source

Core resolution logic:

  • Identify which CONMEBOL nation advances to the latest stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup
  • If multiple nations reach the same stage, apply tie-breakers in order: most total wins in main tournament rounds, most total goals scored in main tournament rounds, fewest total goals conceded in main tournament rounds, alphabetical order of nation name
  • Resolution occurs upon completion of the 2026 FIFA World Cup or upon determination of the furthest-advancing CONMEBOL nation
  • If tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or advancement cannot be determined within timeframe, resolve to 'No'

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Tournament Cancellation or Postponement: If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled or postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to 'No' rather than attempting alternative determination
  • Indeterminacy Within Timeframe: If it cannot be determined which CONMEBOL nation advanced furthest by August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to 'No'
  • Multi-Way Tie Resolution: Tie-breakers are applied in strict sequence: wins first, then goals for, then goals against, then alphabetical. Only if all four criteria are identical does alphabetical order determine the winner
  • Source Hierarchy: Official FIFA data is the primary source; credible reporting consensus serves as acceptable fallback if official data is unavailable
Timing: Resolution occurs upon completion of the 2026 FIFA World Cup main tournament rounds and determination of the furthest-advancing CONMEBOL nation, with a hard deadline of August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET for all determinationsOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve in favor of the nation in CONMEBOL that advances to the latest stage in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who recorded more total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who scores more total goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who conceded fewer goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or it cannot be determined which nation advanced the furthest during the 2026 FIFA World Cup within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Predict

This market will resolve in favor of the nation in CONMEBOL that advances to the latest stage in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who recorded more total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who scores more total goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who conceded fewer goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or it cannot be determined if the listed player scored a goal during the 2026 FIFA World Cup within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Limitless

This market will resolve in favor of the nation in CONMEBOL that advances to the latest stage in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who recorded more total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who scores more total goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who conceded fewer goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or it cannot be determined which nation advanced the furthest during the 2026 FIFA World Cup within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market odds across Polymarket and Predict for which South American (CONMEBOL) nation will advance furthest in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. It tracks real-time consensus probabilities, trading volume, and outcome shifts as markets process team performance, injuries, qualifying results, and tournament developments. The cross-platform view reveals which outcomes command the highest conviction and liquidity, helping traders and analysts gauge collective market sentiment on Argentina, Brazil, Uruguay, Paraguay, and other CONMEBOL competitors throughout the qualification and tournament phases.

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Predict operate on peer-to-peer trading rather than fixed odds set by sportsbooks. Market prices reflect live supply and demand from thousands of traders, often incorporating emerging data faster than traditional sportsbooks adjust lines. Prediction markets tend to be more efficient at pricing tail outcomes and respond dynamically to breaking news. However, sportsbooks may offer tighter spreads and faster payouts. Comparing the two reveals arbitrage opportunities and whether mainstream betting markets lag or lead decentralized prediction platforms on this World Cup event.

Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences between Polymarket and Predict can stem from distinct user bases, liquidity pools, fee structures, and settlement rule interpretations. Polymarket may attract larger institutional traders, while Predict draws different demographics or regional participants. Timing lags in order-book matching, varying leverage or margin policies, and platform-specific UI incentives all influence price discovery. Additionally, each platform's historical accuracy reputation and community trust shape how aggressively traders bid on outcomes. These structural differences create temporary mispricings that sophisticated traders exploit until consensus realigns.

Key catalysts include World Cup qualifying results and standings, which directly impact which CONMEBOL teams reach the tournament. Injuries to star players, managerial changes, and domestic league form all influence perceived strength. Pre-tournament friendlies and warm-up matches provide fitness and tactical updates. During the tournament itself, group-stage outcomes, head-to-head results, and knockout-round draws reshape probabilities daily. Unexpected upsets, red cards, and dramatic comebacks can rapidly shift market odds. Media narratives, betting syndicates' positioning, and social sentiment also drive trading volume and price swings as the event unfolds.