TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 20, 5:13 AM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve according to the method of victory for the winning team of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final, scheduled for July 19, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. "Regular Time" and "Extra Time" include any applicable stoppage time attached to the end of the relevant period. If this match is cancelled or postponed to a date after July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner of the 2026 FIFA World Cup is declared by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the method of victory for the winning team of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final, scheduled for July 19, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. "Regular Time" and "Extra Time" include any applicable stoppage time attached to the end of the relevant period. If this match is cancelled or postponed to a date after July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner of the 2026 FIFA World Cup is declared by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Limitless, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to each possible victory method. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the collective willingness of traders to commit capital, with higher prices indicating greater perceived likelihood. As match conditions change, new information emerges, or sentiment shifts, traders adjust their positions, causing prices to move in real time and creating opportunities for those who anticipate shifts in the probability of regulation wins, extra time, or shootouts.
This market resolves around Jul 20, 2026, once the World Cup Final has concluded and the victory method is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by how the match actually ends—whether one team wins during regulation time, the result is decided in extra time, or the match goes to a penalty shootout. Resolution is straightforward and objective, tied directly to the official match result and the circumstances under which the final decision is reached.
Several factors can shift odds in this market before Jul 20, 2026. Team news—injuries to key players, lineup changes, or tactical announcements—often triggers repricing as traders reassess each team's likelihood of winning in regulation versus needing extra time or penalties. Historical head-to-head records, recent form, and player fitness updates can all influence perceptions of match flow and fatigue. Additionally, betting syndicates and sharp money flowing into specific outcomes can move prices sharply, signaling informed conviction about which victory method is most probable.