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406,065

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World Cup: DR Congo Stage of Elimination
kalshi
polymarket

World Cup: DR Congo Stage of Elimination

Volume:
$80,750

Round of 32

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 1, 2026

Closed: Jul 19, 3:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Round of 32

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$27,919
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Round of 32

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,673
N/A
N/A
$7,176
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Group Stage

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,862
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Group Stage

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,529
N/A
N/A
$5,444
Settled
No
polymarket

Round of 16

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,436
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Round of 16

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,008
N/A
N/A
$1,695
Settled
No
polymarket

Quarterfinals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,698
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Quarterfinals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,344
N/A
N/A
$2,294
Settled
No
polymarket

Semifinals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,352
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Semifinals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$325
N/A
N/A
$325
Settled
No
polymarket

Final

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,588
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Runner-Up

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$970
N/A
N/A
$970
Settled
No
polymarket

Champion

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$919
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Outright Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$125
N/A
N/A
$125
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

This event group tracks the stage at which DR Congo is eliminated from the 2026 FIFA Men's World Cup, or whether they win the tournament. Markets across platforms assess elimination outcomes across all possible stages: Group Stage, Round of 32, Round of 16, Quarterfinals, Semifinals, Final, or Championship victory.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms employ identical resolution logic: markets resolve based on the stage at which DR Congo is eliminated or wins the tournament, with consistent handling of edge cases via official FIFA sources and credible reporting.Primary resolution logic: Official FIFA information (fifa.com); credible reporting consensus if official sources unavailable

Core resolution logic:

  • If DR Congo is eliminated in Group Stage, market resolves affirmatively for Group Stage elimination
  • If DR Congo is eliminated in Round of 32, market resolves affirmatively for Round of 32 elimination
  • If DR Congo is eliminated in Round of 16, market resolves affirmatively for Round of 16 elimination
  • If DR Congo is eliminated in Quarterfinals, market resolves affirmatively for Quarterfinals elimination
  • If DR Congo is eliminated in Semifinals, market resolves affirmatively for Semifinals elimination
  • If DR Congo is eliminated in Final, market resolves affirmatively for Final elimination
  • If DR Congo wins the Final and becomes World Cup Champion, market resolves affirmatively for Championship

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Disqualification or Withdrawal: If DR Congo is disqualified, withdraws, or is removed from the tournament, resolution is based on the furthest completed round reached by DR Congo using best available official information
  • Tournament Cancellation or Postponement: If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full or postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, markets resolve to Other/No Resolution
  • Incomplete Tournament: If the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, resolution is based on the furthest completed round reached by DR Congo
  • Source Hierarchy: Official FIFA sources take precedence; credible reporting consensus is used as secondary source if official information is unavailable
Timing: Resolution occurs upon completion of the stage at which DR Congo is eliminated or upon tournament conclusion if DR Congo wins the championship. Final resolution deadline is tied to official FIFA tournament completion or August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET for cancellation/postponement scenarios.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which DR Congo is eliminated. If DR Congo wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If DR Congo is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by DR Congo based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

These markets track Congo DR's elimination stage throughout the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup. A team is considered eliminated at the stage where it loses a match. If a team withdraws, forfeits, or is disqualified at any point, its elimination stage is determined by the farthest stage reached prior to such action—for example, if a team withdraws after winning a Round of 32 match, the Round of 16 market resolves to Yes since that would have been the next stage of competition. A team losing in the Semifinals resolves the Semifinals market to Yes regardless of third-place match results. The Outright Winner market resolves to Yes only if Congo DR wins the Final.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi often reflect different risk appetites and liquidity constraints than traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract margin, prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs in real time with minimal intermediation. For DR Congo's World Cup elimination stage, market-derived probabilities may diverge from sportsbook lines due to differences in information flow, participant sophistication, and capital availability. Comparing prediction market consensus to sportsbook spreads can reveal arbitrage opportunities and highlight where consensus sentiment diverges from professional oddsmaking.

Key catalysts include DR Congo's qualifying performance and final seeding in the 2026 World Cup draw, which determines group composition and knockout matchups. Injury updates to star players, coaching changes, and pre-tournament friendlies will shift trader sentiment about their elimination likelihood. During the tournament itself, group-stage results, goal differential, and head-to-head outcomes directly influence advancement odds. Media narratives around team form, tactical adjustments, and comparative strength of opponents will drive real-time repricing. Late-stage tournament developments—such as surprise eliminations of favored teams—can reshape expectations for DR Congo's path and trigger significant market moves.