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World Cup: Czechia Stage of Elimination
kalshi
polymarket

World Cup: Czechia Stage of Elimination

Volume:
$86,297

Group Stage

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 25, 2026

Closed: Jul 19, 3:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Group Stage

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$22,781
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Group Stage

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,249
N/A
N/A
$5,229
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Round of 32

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19,856
N/A
N/A
$18,996
Settled
No
polymarket

Round of 32

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,495
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Semifinals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,352
N/A
N/A
$6,342
Settled
No
polymarket

Semifinals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,510
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Outright Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,676
N/A
N/A
$5,676
Settled
No
polymarket

Champion

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,443
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Round of 16

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,966
N/A
N/A
$2,850
Settled
No
polymarket

Round of 16

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,231
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Quarterfinals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,970
N/A
N/A
$2,555
Settled
No
polymarket

Quarterfinals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,197
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Final

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,268
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Runner-Up

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$301
N/A
N/A
$301
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

This event group tracks the stage at which Czechia is eliminated from the 2026 FIFA Men's World Cup, or whether they win the tournament. Markets across platforms offer granular resolution based on Czechia's furthest advancement: Group Stage, Round of 32, Round of 16, Quarterfinals, Semifinals, Final, or Champion.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms employ identical elimination-stage logic covering all tournament phases from Group Stage through Final, plus Championship victory, with consistent fallback to furthest completed round in edge cases.Primary resolution logic: Official FIFA sources (fifa.com) with consensus of credible reporting as secondary source

Core resolution logic:

  • Czechia eliminated in Group Stage resolves YES
  • Czechia eliminated in Round of 32 resolves YES
  • Czechia eliminated in Round of 16 resolves YES
  • Czechia eliminated in Quarterfinals resolves YES
  • Czechia eliminated in Semifinals resolves YES
  • Czechia eliminated in Final resolves YES
  • Czechia wins the tournament (becomes Champion) resolves YES
  • In case of disqualification, withdrawal, or tournament suspension, resolution uses the furthest completed round reached by Czechia

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Tournament Cancellation or Postponement: If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full or postponed after August 2, 2026 11:59 PM ET, Polymarket resolves to 'Other'. Kalshi has no explicit cancellation clause and would follow standard market practice.
  • Disqualification or Withdrawal: If Czechia is disqualified, withdraws, or is removed from the tournament, resolution is based on the furthest completed round reached by Czechia using best available official information.
  • Incomplete Tournament: If the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, resolution defaults to the furthest completed round reached by Czechia.
Timing: Resolution occurs upon completion of the stage at which Czechia is eliminated or upon Czechia's championship victory in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, expected to conclude by late 2026. Final deadline for tournament completion is August 2, 2026 11:59 PM ET for Polymarket's 'Other' resolution clause.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Czechia is eliminated. If Czechia wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Czechia is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Czechia based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

Czechia's stage of elimination is determined by the farthest point at which the team fails to advance in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup tournament structure. The tournament progresses through Group Stage, Round of 32, Round of 16, Quarterfinals, Semifinals, and Final. If Czechia loses a match at any stage, the corresponding market for that stage resolves to Yes. In the event of withdrawal, forfeiture, or disqualification, the team's elimination stage is determined by the farthest stage reached prior to such action—for example, if Czechia withdraws after winning a Round of 32 match, the Round of 16 market resolves to Yes as that would be the next stage where elimination would have occurred. A loss in the Semifinals results in Yes resolution for the Semifinals market regardless of third-place match outcome. The Outright Winner market resolves to Yes only if Czechia wins the Final.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates real-time prediction market odds for Czechia's elimination stage across Polymarket and Kalshi. It tracks which round Czechia will exit the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup—whether in the group stage, knockout rounds, or later. By monitoring consensus probability across multiple platforms, you gain a cross-market view of how traders collectively assess Czechia's tournament trajectory. The dashboard updates continuously as new information emerges and market participants adjust positions, giving you a transparent window into decentralized forecasting on this sporting event.

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi often reflect different risk profiles and liquidity than traditional sportsbooks. Prediction markets are peer-to-peer and driven by retail and professional traders betting real capital, while sportsbooks set odds to manage liability and profit margins. For Czechia's World Cup elimination stage, prediction market prices may move faster in response to team news, injuries, or qualifying results because traders face direct financial incentive to price accurately. Comparing both sources helps you identify where consensus diverges and spot potential value.

Key catalysts include Czechia's qualifying performance and final seeding for the 2026 World Cup draw, which determines group opponents and knockout path difficulty. Injuries to star players, managerial changes, and recent friendlies signal team strength. The actual draw in late 2025 will be pivotal—a tough group or favorable bracket dramatically shifts elimination odds. During the tournament itself, Czechia's results in each match, goal differential, and head-to-head tiebreakers will move markets in real time. Transfer activity and form of rival nations also influence trader sentiment about Czechia's prospects.