TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 7, 4:43 PM EST
Limitless
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for July 7, 2026, 16:00 UTC. If the match is not completed within 90 minutes plus stoppage time and the competition authority awards an official win to one of the teams, the market will resolve according to that awarded result. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than September 5, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for July 7, 2026, 16:00 UTC. If the match is not completed within 90 minutes plus stoppage time and the competition authority awards an official win to one of the teams, the market will resolve according to that awarded result. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than September 5, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets are driven by trader consensus and real money at stake. For this market, prediction market participants may price in factors—team form, injury news, tactical adjustments—faster or differently than traditional sportsbooks. Comparing the two can reveal where public sentiment or sharp traders see value, though both sources offer legitimate perspectives on likely outcomes.
On Limitless, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for shares representing each possible outcome. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the balance of buy and sell orders at any moment, with tighter spreads indicating higher confidence and liquidity. As new information emerges—team news, betting patterns, or expert analysis—traders adjust their positions, moving prices in real time. This continuous repricing ensures the market reflects the latest collective judgment on the match.
This market resolves around Jul 8, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome will reflect the official final score and result as confirmed by the tournament organizers and major sports reporting outlets. Until that point, prices may fluctuate based on pre-match developments, team announcements, or shifting trader sentiment. Resolution is automatic once the event is complete and the outcome is publicly confirmed.
Key catalysts for this market include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup announcements, or tactical changes from either side. Pre-match analysis from respected football analysts and expert predictions can shift trader positioning significantly. Recent form, head-to-head history, and tournament context—such as group-stage implications or knockout-stage pressure—also influence prices. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and late-breaking developments closer to kickoff may trigger sharp moves. Traders monitor all these signals continuously, repricing the market as new information becomes available.