TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 24, 11:07 PM EST
Kalshi
A player scores in every group stage match during the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup.
If any individual player records a goal in every group stage match in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money trader conviction and aggregate dispersed information from thousands of participants. Analyst forecasts, by contrast, typically rely on smaller expert panels and historical statistical models. Markets often price in late-breaking team news, injury updates, and lineup changes faster than published analyst reports. Comparing Kalshi odds to major sports analytics outlets and tournament preview forecasts can reveal where professional opinion diverges from market pricing, helping identify potential value or consensus blind spots.
On Kalshi, this market is priced as a binary contract reflecting the probability that every group stage match will feature at least one goal-scorer. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy YES shares if they believe the outcome will occur, or NO shares if they expect at least one goalless draw. The price of YES shares directly represents the implied probability; for example, a price of 65 cents means the market assigns roughly 65 percent chance to the event. Kalshi's order book aggregates all buy and sell interest, and the midpoint or last-traded price serves as the live market rate.
This market resolves on Jun 28, 2026, after the final group stage match of the 2026 World Cup concludes. Resolution is determined by whether every single group stage fixture produced at least one goal-scorer. If even one match ends in a 0–0 draw or has no goals scored, the outcome resolves NO. If all group matches feature at least one goal-scorer, it resolves YES. The resolution is based on official FIFA match records and final scorelines.
Major shifts in team rosters, injuries to key strikers, or tactical announcements by top nations could significantly move odds. Early group stage results will be the primary driver: each goalless draw reduces the probability substantially, while high-scoring matches increase it. Unexpected team eliminations or surprise defensive performances in early fixtures will reshape trader expectations. Weather conditions, referee tendencies, and emerging underdog performances during the tournament will also influence market pricing as traders update their models based on live tournament data.