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World Cup: Algeria Stage of Elimination
kalshi
polymarket

World Cup: Algeria Stage of Elimination

Volume:
$74,742

Round of 32

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 3, 2026

Closed: Jul 3, 1:09 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Round of 32

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12,764
N/A
N/A
$9,104
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Round of 32

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$11,709
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Round of 16

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,869
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Round of 16

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,544
N/A
N/A
$2,851
Settled
No
kalshi

Group Stage

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,033
N/A
N/A
$5,802
Settled
No
polymarket

Group Stage

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,677
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Final

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,546
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Runner-Up

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$96
N/A
N/A
$96
Settled
No
polymarket

Semifinals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,996
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Semifinals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$64
N/A
N/A
$64
Settled
No
polymarket

Champion

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,528
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Outright Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$450
N/A
N/A
$400
Settled
No
kalshi

Quarterfinals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,392
N/A
N/A
$2,160
Settled
No
polymarket

Quarterfinals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,075
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

This event group tracks at which stage Algeria will be eliminated from the 2026 FIFA Men's World Cup, or whether they will win the tournament. Both platforms offer markets covering all possible elimination stages (Group Stage through Final) plus a championship outcome, with consistent resolution criteria tied to official FIFA tournament results.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms employ identical resolution logic: markets resolve Yes/Champion based on the specific stage at which Algeria exits the tournament or wins it, with official FIFA data as the authoritative source.Primary resolution logic: Official FIFA sources (fifa.com); credible consensus reporting accepted as secondary source per Polymarket terms.

Core resolution logic:

  • If Algeria is eliminated in Group Stage, market resolves to Yes/Group Stage
  • If Algeria is eliminated in Round of 32, market resolves to Yes/Round of 32
  • If Algeria is eliminated in Round of 16, market resolves to Yes/Round of 16
  • If Algeria is eliminated in Quarterfinals, market resolves to Yes/Quarterfinals
  • If Algeria is eliminated in Semifinals, market resolves to Yes/Semifinals
  • If Algeria is eliminated in the Final, market resolves to Yes/Final
  • If Algeria wins the Final, market resolves to Yes/Champion
  • If Algeria is disqualified, withdraws, or removed from tournament, resolution follows furthest completed round reached
  • If tournament is cancelled or postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, market resolves to Other/No

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Tournament Incompletion: If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is not completed, resolution is based on the furthest completed round Algeria reached per best available official information.
  • Disqualification or Withdrawal: If Algeria is disqualified, withdraws, or is removed from the tournament, the market resolves according to the stage at which they exited.
  • Tournament Cancellation: If the entire tournament is cancelled or postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, markets resolve to Other or No depending on market structure.
Timing: Resolution occurs upon completion of the 2026 FIFA World Cup or upon the stage at which Algeria is eliminated, with final settlement no later than August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET for cancellation/postponement scenarios.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Algeria is eliminated. If Algeria wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Algeria is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Algeria based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

Algeria's stage of elimination is determined by the farthest point at which the team fails to advance in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup tournament structure. The tournament progresses through Group Stage, Round of 32, Round of 16, Quarterfinals, Semifinals, and Final. If Algeria loses a match at any stage, the corresponding market for that stage resolves to Yes. In the event of withdrawal, forfeiture, or disqualification, the team's elimination stage is determined by the farthest stage reached prior to such action—for example, if Algeria withdraws after winning a Round of 32 match, the Round of 16 market resolves to Yes as that would be the next stage where elimination would have occurred. A loss in the Semifinals results in Yes resolution for the Semifinals market regardless of third-place match outcome. The Outright Winner market resolves to Yes only if Algeria wins the Final.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi often reflect different risk profiles and liquidity constraints than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks price based on sharp action and margin requirements, while decentralized prediction markets aggregate crowd sentiment and retail positioning. For Algeria's World Cup elimination stage, prediction market odds may diverge from sportsbook lines due to differences in market depth, trader sophistication, and real-time information flow. Comparing both sources helps identify mispricings and understand whether the crowd or professional oddsmakers view Algeria's tournament prospects differently.

Key catalysts include Algeria's group-stage performance, injury updates to star players, coaching changes, and head-to-head matchups against likely opponents. Strong showings in qualifying or warm-up friendlies could boost Algeria's perceived depth and tournament longevity, shifting odds toward later elimination stages. Conversely, poor form or squad disruptions could shorten odds on early exits. As the tournament approaches, updated FIFA rankings, bracket seeding, and draw results will refine market expectations. Real-time match results during the World Cup will drive the most dramatic repricing.