TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 12:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This event is about which team will finish the 2026 Women's Pro Basketball regular season with the worst record. The market tracks the performance of teams throughout the season to determine which one ends with the lowest win-loss record.
Resolution is based on the final regular season win-loss record. The team with the worst record causes its corresponding market to resolve to Yes. If multiple teams tie for the worst record at the end of the regular season, the Yes payout is divided equally among all tied outcomes, with each receiving $1/N rounded down to the nearest cent (where N equals the number of tied participants). The No payout for tied outcomes equals $1 minus the Yes payout.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in each team having the worst record. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome happening, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The market depth shows the volume of contracts available at different price points, indicating the strength of conviction behind each prediction. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a highly liquid and efficient market.
This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the team with the lowest win percentage at the conclusion of the 2026 Women's Pro Basketball regular season will be considered the outcome. The resolution will be based on official league standings, and any tiebreakers will be applied according to the league’s official rules. Traders will be able to view the final results and claim their winnings once the resolution is finalized on Kalshi.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Major player injuries to key teams, coaching changes, or unexpected team performance during the season are all potential catalysts. Trades that significantly alter a team's roster could also shift the odds. Furthermore, any news regarding team tanking strategies or changes in player motivation could influence trader behavior. As the season progresses and more data becomes available, the market will react to these events, potentially leading to substantial price movements. Monitoring team performance, injury reports, and league news will be crucial for understanding how this market evolves.