TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 18, 3:00 AM EST
Kalshi
A women's professional basketball team will compete during the 2026 regular season, with performance measured by their total wins accumulated throughout the season.
Resolution is determined by the Seattle Storm's total regular season wins in 2026. The event structure establishes seven progressive win thresholds: 10, 15, 20, 25, 30, 35, and 40 games. Each threshold represents a distinct resolution point, with affirmative resolution occurring if the team achieves or exceeds the specified win total for that particular market. The final win count at the conclusion of the 2026 regular season determines which thresholds are met and how each corresponding market resolves.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the Seattle Storm will exceed a certain win total. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively representing the market’s collective probability assessment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The current price indicates the probability that the Seattle Storm will achieve the specified win total, as determined by those trading on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final win total for the Seattle Storm will be sourced from official league standings and verified against credible public sources. The market will settle based on the team’s officially recorded regular season wins, including any wins achieved through overtime. Any disputes regarding the official win total will be resolved using publicly available information from the league’s official website.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Major player injuries to key members of the Seattle Storm, or to competing teams, would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected coaching changes or shifts in team performance could also move the market. Significant trades affecting team composition are another key catalyst. Finally, any news regarding team chemistry or internal conflicts could influence trader sentiment and, consequently, the price of contracts in this market. Monitoring these events will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in the market’s outlook.