TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 3:00 AM EST
Kalshi
A women's professional basketball team will compete during the 2026 regular season, with performance measured by their total wins accumulated throughout the season.
The Atlanta Dream's 2026 regular season performance is evaluated across seven progressive win thresholds. Each threshold represents a distinct performance level: 10 wins indicates baseline competitiveness, 15 wins represents solid performance, 20 wins reflects a strong season, 25 wins demonstrates playoff contention, 30 wins shows elite status, 35 wins indicates championship-caliber performance, and 40 wins represents an exceptional season. Resolution is determined by the final official win total recorded by the WNBA at the conclusion of the 2026 regular season. The team's actual win-loss record, as certified by the league, determines which thresholds are met.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the Atlanta Dream win total. The price of each contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The current price reflects the combined judgment of all participants on Kalshi regarding the likelihood of the Dream achieving a specific win total.
This market resolves around Oct 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the Atlanta Dream’s final regular season win total is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official standings published by the Women’s Pro Basketball league. The final win-loss record will be used to determine whether the market settles on the ‘over’ or ‘under’ side of the specified win total. Traders will then be paid out based on their positions in this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Major player injuries to key members of the Atlanta Dream, or to competing teams, would likely cause price fluctuations. Significant changes in team coaching or management could also shift expectations. Unexpected trades that alter the team’s roster composition could also move the market. Finally, the Dream’s performance in early-season games and their overall trajectory throughout the season will be closely watched by traders, leading to adjustments in the probabilities reflected in this market.