TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC
kalshi
polymarket

Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC

Volume:
$1,748,196

Liverpool FC

 - Polymarket

Liverpool FC - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 7, 2026

Closed: Mar 7, 10:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Liverpool FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,474,342
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Liverpool wins by over 1.5 goals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$27,132
N/A
N/A
$23,310
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wolverhampton Wanderers FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$197,093
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$39,962
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Liverpool wins by over 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,743
N/A
N/A
$4,568
Settled
No
kalshi

Wolverhampton wins by over 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,801
N/A
N/A
$3,362
Settled
No
kalshi

Wolverhampton wins by over 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,123
N/A
N/A
$1,123
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event group covers a professional FA Cup soccer match between Wolverhampton Wanderers FC and Liverpool FC scheduled for early March 2026. Markets across platforms are betting on the final score outcome (win/loss/draw) and goal differential thresholds, all measured at 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Scheduled match date differs between platforms (Kalshi: March 6 vs. Polymarket: March 7, 2026), and market architectures diverge (goal differential thresholds vs. binary outcomes). Both correctly specify 90 minutes plus stoppage time as the measurement window.Hero tip: Verify the official FA Cup fixture date immediately. A one-day scheduling mismatch could cause settlement timing conflicts. Kalshi's goal differential markets and Polymarket's binary outcome markets measure different things—traders cannot directly arbitrage between them. Ensure your position aligns with the actual match date and your preferred market type.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Four goal differential markets (Liverpool >1.5, Liverpool >2.5, Wolverhampton >1.5, Wolverhampton >2.5) scheduled for March 6, 2026. Resolves Yes if the specified team wins by the specified margin after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Key Quote: 'after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties)'
  • Polymarket: Three binary outcome markets (Wolverhampton win, Liverpool win, draw) scheduled for March 7, 2026. Resolves based on match result within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation resolves per market (No for win markets, Yes for draw market). Key Quote: 'This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.