TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC
Volume:
$1,748,196
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional FA Cup soccer match between Wolverhampton Wanderers FC and Liverpool FC scheduled for early March 2026. Markets across platforms are betting on the final score outcome (win/loss/draw) and goal differential thresholds, all measured at 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Scheduled match date differs between platforms (Kalshi: March 6 vs. Polymarket: March 7, 2026), and market architectures diverge (goal differential thresholds vs. binary outcomes). Both correctly specify 90 minutes plus stoppage time as the measurement window.Hero Tip:
Verify the official FA Cup fixture date immediately. A one-day scheduling mismatch could cause settlement timing conflicts. Kalshi's goal differential markets and Polymarket's binary outcome markets measure different things—traders cannot directly arbitrage between them. Ensure your position aligns with the actual match date and your preferred market type.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Four goal differential markets (Liverpool >1.5, Liverpool >2.5, Wolverhampton >1.5, Wolverhampton >2.5) scheduled for March 6, 2026. Resolves Yes if the specified team wins by the specified margin after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Key Quote: 'after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties)'
- Polymarket: Three binary outcome markets (Wolverhampton win, Liverpool win, draw) scheduled for March 7, 2026. Resolves based on match result within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation resolves per market (No for win markets, Yes for draw market). Key Quote: 'This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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