TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Arsenal FC
Volume:
$8,185,784
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers three linked prediction markets on the Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Arsenal FC professional EPL soccer match scheduled for February 18, 2026. The markets assess the final outcome (win/loss/draw) within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic covers only the three match outcomes (Arsenal win, draw, Wolverhampton win) with no explicit cancellation clause, while Polymarket specifies asymmetric cancellation handling: draw resolves Yes, wins resolve No. This creates a logical gap and potential payout mismatch if the game is canceled.Hero Tip:
Monitor for any postponement or cancellation announcements. If the match is canceled with no makeup game, Polymarket traders holding draw positions will receive Yes payouts while win positions receive No payouts. Kalshi's behavior in this scenario is undefined. Hedge accordingly or seek clarification from Kalshi before match day.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Resolves all three outcomes (Arsenal win, Tie, Wolverhampton win) to Yes if the professional EPL soccer game is played after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No cancellation or postponement clause is stated. Key quote: 'If [outcome] wins the Wolverhampton vs Arsenal professional EPL soccer game originally scheduled for Feb 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Three separate markets with outcome-specific cancellation rules. Arsenal win and Wolverhampton win markets resolve No if canceled with no makeup game; draw market resolves Yes if canceled with no makeup game. Postponed games remain open until completion. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve [No for wins / Yes for draw].'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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