TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$85,014,378
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,391,695,592
394,774
Markets across
30,069
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,615
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 14, 5:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This event focuses on the margin of victory in the Wolverhampton versus Blackburn soccer match. Different markets cover various winning margins for each team, determining if one side achieves a decisive lead over the other within the standard match duration.
This event assesses whether Wolverhampton or Blackburn achieves a victory by a specified margin (more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals) in their EFL Championship match on August 14, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Markets resolve to 'Yes' if the stated team wins by the required margin. Kalshi emphasizes no official connection with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a more nuanced outlook than traditional sportsbook lines, incorporating real-time trader sentiment and advanced analytics. While sportsbooks set fixed lines based on broader public betting trends and sharp money, prediction markets adjust dynamically, potentially offering tighter spreads and more accurate probability estimates.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the odds by buying and selling contracts that represent possible point differentials. The current implied spread reflects the weighted average of all open bets, with higher volume around the most likely outcomes. Price adjustments happen continuously as new information about player injuries, weather, or recent team performance influences betting activity. This decentralized pricing captures the market’s collective forecast for the match’s final spread.
This market resolves around Aug 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the match result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The point differential from the final whistle determines which side of the spread is correct, and the market settles automatically based on that official result.