TOTAL VOLUME:

$143b

24H VOL:

$111,424,783

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,661,467,257

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,630,632,565

494,234

Markets across

37,330

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,871

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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WNBA: 2026 Champion
kalshi
polymarket

Who will win WNBA?

Total volume:
$10,013,747
Volume 24h:
$514,913
141%
Liquidity:
$35,992
87%
Open interest:
$5,574,061
5%

Golden State

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Dec 1, 2026

Will Golden State win the 2026 Women's Pro Basketball Championship?

55%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 55¢ buys you 182 shares | Odds: 55% Total Payout: $182 | Net Profit: $82 Multiplier: 1.82x | ROI: 82% APY not meaningful 45 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Golden State

Trade
55%
2%
Yes 55¢No 47¢
2¢
N/A
$1,485,588
4%
29%
$835,032
1mo 2w 1d
active
polymarket

Golden State Valkyries

Trade
52%
Yes 52.4¢No 47.9¢
0.3¢
$15,472
$132,534
0.4%
12%
N/A
4w 1d 7h
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
54.8%
Yes 53.7¢No 47.4¢
Avg: 1.2¢Max: 2¢
polymarket

Atlanta Dream

Trade
48%
1%
Yes 48¢No 53¢
1¢
$20,520
$172,293
0.3%
6%
N/A
2w 2h
active
kalshi

Atlanta

Trade
47%
1%
Yes 47¢No 54¢
1¢
N/A
$971,240
0.59%
6%
$682,084
1mo 2w 1d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
47.1%
Yes 47.5¢No 53.5¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Indiana

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,324,353
N/A
N/A
$838,020
1mo 2w 1d
No
polymarket

Indiana Fever

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$194,652
N/A
N/A
N/A
2w 2h
No
kalshi

New York

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,162,578
N/A
N/A
$784,578
1mo 2w 1d
No
polymarket

New York Liberty

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$130,725
N/A
N/A
N/A
2w 2h
No
kalshi

Minnesota

View
0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$906,822
N/A
N/A
$598,143
1mo 2w 1d
No
polymarket

Minnesota Lynx

View
0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$291,215
N/A
N/A
N/A
2w 2h
No
kalshi

Las Vegas

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$894,254
N/A
N/A
$497,645
1mo 2w 1d
No
polymarket

Las Vegas Aces

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$112,551
N/A
N/A
N/A
4w 1d 7h
No
kalshi

Dallas

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$718,611
N/A
N/A
$495,206
1mo 2w 1d
No
polymarket

Dallas Wings

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$117,304
N/A
N/A
N/A
2w 2h
No
kalshi

Washington

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$705,699
N/A
N/A
$576,525
1mo 2w 1d
No
polymarket

Washington Mystics

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$109,537
N/A
N/A
N/A
2w 2h
No
polymarket

Portland Fire

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$191,769
N/A
N/A
N/A
2w 2h
No
kalshi

Portland

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$71,837
N/A
N/A
$71,837
1mo 2w 1d
No
kalshi

Los Angeles

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$64,105
N/A
N/A
$38,754
1mo 2w 1d
No
kalshi

Toronto

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$51,709
N/A
N/A
$51,659
1mo 2w 1d
No
kalshi

Phoenix

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$49,242
N/A
N/A
$47,284
1mo 2w 1d
No
polymarket

Connecticut Sun

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$42,311
N/A
N/A
N/A
2w 2h
No
kalshi

Seattle

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$30,219
N/A
N/A
$29,999
1mo 2w 1d
No
kalshi

Chicago

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$21,816
N/A
N/A
$19,567
1mo 2w 1d
No
polymarket

Los Angeles Sparks

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,133
N/A
N/A
N/A
2w 2h
No
Total markets: 25 of 30

Intro

This market tracks which team will win the 2026 Women’s Pro Basketball Championship. Currently, Golden State is predicted to win with a 53.0% probability, while Atlanta is at 48.0%. This aggregated view combines data from Kalshi and Polymarket, and will resolve based on official WNBA sources, including WNBA.com and credible sports reporting such as ESPN and the AP. Keep an eye on the start of the 2026 WNBA Playoffs in September as results will begin to narrow the field of potential champions.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Kalshi markets resolve based on the same criteria: the official WNBA champion for the 2026 season.Primary resolution logic: Official WNBA sources (WNBA.com, official announcements) and a consensus of credible sports reporting (e.g., ESPN, AP).

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves to 'Yes' for the team that wins the 2026 WNBA Finals.
  • If the 2026 WNBA Finals are cancelled or postponed past November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to 'Other'.
  • In the event of a tie, the team whose name comes first alphabetically is declared the winner.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Disqualification: If a team is disqualified from the WNBA Finals before the championship is decided, the market for that team resolves to 'No'.
  • Postponement: If the WNBA Finals are significantly delayed but still completed within the November 14, 2026, deadline, the market will resolve based on the eventual winner.
Timing: The markets will resolve once the WNBA officially declares a champion for the 2026 season, or on November 15, 2026, if no champion has been declared by that date.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the WNBA for the 2026 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to named as the champion of WNBA for the 2026 season per the rules of WNBA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the WNBA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

If Atlanta wins the 2026 Women's Pro Basketball Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chicago wins the 2026 Women's Pro Basketball Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Connecticut wins the 2026 Women's Pro Basketball Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Indiana wins the 2026 Women's Pro Basketball Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If New York wins the 2026 Women's Pro Basketball Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Toronto wins the 2026 Women's Pro Basketball Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Washington wins the 2026 Women's Pro Basketball Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Dallas wins the 2026 Women's Pro Basketball Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Golden State wins the 2026 Women's Pro Basketball Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Las Vegas wins the 2026 Women's Pro Basketball Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Los Angeles wins the 2026 Women's Pro Basketball Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Minnesota wins the 2026 Women's Pro Basketball Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Phoenix wins the 2026 Women's Pro Basketball Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Portland wins the 2026 Women's Pro Basketball Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Seattle wins the 2026 Women's Pro Basketball Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard tracks the WNBA championship market across multiple prediction platforms, providing a consensus view of probabilities. Currently, the aggregated volume for this market is $10,013,721, with $57,181 traded in the last 24 hours. Polymarket and Kalshi are the primary venues included in this aggregation. The dashboard displays a combined probability based on trading activity on both platforms, offering a broader perspective than looking at any single exchange. As of now, the combined market suggests a leading contender, but probabilities can shift significantly as new information emerges.

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while prediction markets are driven by real-money wagers. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when public sentiment diverges from expert opinion. Typically, prediction markets tend to be more accurate than sportsbooks over the long run, especially when there's significant public interest and trading volume. However, sportsbooks may offer more competitive pricing on individual outcomes.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has a different user base, trading incentives, and liquidity. For example, Polymarket currently favors Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals? at 52.3%, while Kalshi leans toward Will Golden State win the 2026 Women's Pro Basketball Championship? at 55.0%. These differences in perceived probabilities are reflected in the market prices. Additionally, trading fees and platform-specific rules can influence how traders behave and, consequently, the odds offered. Volume differences between the two platforms also contribute to price discrepancies.

This market resolves around Dec 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which team wins the 2026 WNBA Finals, as determined by official league results. The winning team will be identified through official WNBA standings and playoff results. The outcome will be verified against credible public sources, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution process. Traders should monitor official WNBA announcements for the final determination of the championship winner.

Numerous signals and events could significantly impact this market. Player injuries to key athletes, coaching changes, and team trades are all potential catalysts. Unexpected performance during the regular season, shifts in team chemistry, and even media narratives surrounding specific teams can influence trader sentiment. Major upsets in the playoffs, or the emergence of a dark horse contender, could also cause substantial price movements. Any news that alters perceptions of a team's championship probability is likely to be reflected in the trading activity within this market.