TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 31, 1:57 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks various margin-based outcomes for an upcoming soccer match between Wisla Plock and Widzew Lodz. It focuses on the difference in goals scored by the two teams at the end of regular time, without considering extra time or penalty shootouts. The event resolves based on specific goal-difference thresholds for each team winning by a certain margin.
The event covers four distinct outcome scenarios for the Wisla Plock vs Widzew Lodz professional Ekstraklasa soccer match scheduled for July 31, 2026, with resolution based solely on regular time results—specifically, the 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty phases. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if Wisla Plock secures a victory by more than 2.5 goals or by more than 1.5 goals, or if Widzew Lodz achieves a win by more than 1.5 goals or by more than 2.5 goals. Each rule defines a unique threshold for goal-difference victory, allowing for multiple potential 'Yes' resolutions depending on the match's final score. The rules explicitly note that Kalshi, the platform hosting this event, holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to the speculative nature of trader bets. While sportsbooks set their spreads based on analytical models and historical data, prediction markets let participants bet directly on outcomes, which can lead to volatility or shifts based on trader sentiment. Comparing the two can reveal differences in perceived likelihood and market dynamics.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the odds through their bets, which determine the current implied probability for each possible spread outcome. The platform’s pricing mechanism reflects the collective wisdom of participants, adjusting continuously as new bets are placed. This creates a dynamic market price that can shift rapidly in response to trading volume and sentiment changes.
This market resolves around Jul 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread is calculated based on the official match result, and the market settles accordingly. Timing depends on when official scores are announced post-game, ensuring an accurate and transparent resolution process.
Injuries to key players, changes in team strategies, or shifting weather conditions could all impact this market. As new information emerges — such as lineup announcements or in-game performance — trader sentiment may shift, causing odds to move. Media coverage and expert analysis leading up to the match can also influence betting patterns and market prices on Kalshi.