TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 8:34 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams competing in Poland's top league. The result depends solely on which team wins within the regular timeframe of the game, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts. If neither team secures a victory during this period, the result is considered a draw.
The event determines the winner of the Wisla Plock vs Cracovia Krakow professional Ekstraklasa soccer match scheduled for September 13, 2026, based exclusively on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct markets correspond to the possible outcomes: Wisla Plock win, Cracovia Krakow win, or a tie. If the match concludes with a victory for either team within the regular timeframe, the respective market resolves to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after the same period, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as per the defined procedures. The resolution strictly adheres to the result within regular time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty shootout outcomes.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at traditional sportsbooks due to the wisdom of the crowd effect. Sportsbooks set lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market reflects the collective predictions of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing an outcome, they can express that view by trading on Kalshi, potentially driving the odds in a different direction. This dynamic can lead to more accurate probabilities, though discrepancies can still occur based on differing information or risk assessments.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of that outcome’s likelihood. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand; if more people buy contracts for a specific outcome, the price rises, indicating increased confidence in that result. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Wisla Plock vs Cracovia Krakow match, as determined by the governing sporting body. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final market prices at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to understand any potential factors that could influence the final result.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Sep 13, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift traders’ expectations. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or strategic changes could also cause significant price movements. Public sentiment, reflected in news articles and social media, can also play a role, as traders react to perceived advantages or disadvantages for either team. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market.