TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 8:21 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many touchdowns each team scores through receptions in an upcoming college football game. It focuses specifically on offensive performance via the passing game, ignoring other scoring methods. The outcomes depend entirely on the game's final statistics, with specific thresholds determining resolution.
All markets resolve based on the official number of receiving touchdowns scored by each team during the Wisconsin vs Penn St. college football game scheduled for Sep 26, 2026, including any overtime periods. A receiving touchdown is defined as a touchdown scored by a player who catches the ball from a legal forward pass. Touchdowns scored after a fumble recovery by another player do not count, unless the original receiving player recovers their own fumble and scores. Successful 2-point conversions, regardless of when they occur, are excluded from all calculations. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market’s prices are driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it could indicate differing opinions on the likelihood of a particular result. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information and insights faster than sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges closer to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each outcome—in this case, whether Wisconsin or Penn State will be the team to receive two or more touchdowns. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the expected result. The goal is to find the fair price where buyers and sellers agree.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, following the conclusion of the Wisconsin vs Penn State football game. The outcome will be determined by which team—Wisconsin or Penn State—receives two or more touchdowns during the game. The result will be verified against credible public reporting from official game sources. The market will then settle based on this verified outcome, and traders will receive payouts according to their positions. It’s important to monitor the game and official reports as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the prices in this market leading up to Sep 27, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Wisconsin or Penn State would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to one team’s offensive style, could also shift the market. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game might also cause price movements. Finally, general public sentiment and betting trends observed in other markets could contribute to changes in this market’s pricing.