TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 8:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Penn State will win their college football game against Wisconsin by more than 1.5 points. Currently, the probability of Penn St. wins by over 1.5 points is at 95.0% on Kalshi. Resolution will be determined based on the outcome of the Wisconsin vs Penn St. college football game originally scheduled for September 26, 2026, as defined by the market’s resolution source. Keep a close watch on the game itself, as the market will resolve based on the final score reported after the game on September 27, 2026.
All markets resolve based on the official final result of the Wisconsin vs Penn State college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. Each market has a specific point differential threshold that determines a 'Yes' outcome—either Penn State winning by more than a designated number of points or Wisconsin winning by more than a designated number of points. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game timing uncertainties.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds to attract balanced betting action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to express their own independent assessments of the game’s likely outcome. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – this market will adjust rapidly, potentially diverging from sportsbook odds. It’s common to see this market converge with sportsbook lines closer to game time, as both reflect the latest available information.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the Wisconsin-Penn State football game, as determined by official game statistics, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts predicting the actual spread will settle at 100, while those predicting a different spread will settle at 0. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Wisconsin or Penn State would likely cause a shift in the spread. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is predicted, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected coaching decisions or significant changes in team strategy could also move the market. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and drive price fluctuations, especially as we approach Sep 27, 2026.