TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 6:33 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting the outcome of the second quarter in an upcoming college football game between Wisconsin and Penn State. Specifically, it evaluates whether one team will outscore the other by a certain margin during that quarter. The markets cover a range of possible point differentials, allowing participants to bet on varying levels of dominance in that specific segment of the game.
The markets resolve based on the point differential between Wisconsin and Penn State exclusively during the second quarter of their college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific point spread threshold, with outcomes determined by whether the winning team exceeds that threshold by more than the specified margin. For instance, markets for Penn State winning by over 10.5 points in the second quarter will resolve to 'Yes' only if Penn State's lead at the end of that quarter surpasses 10.5 points. Conversely, markets for Wisconsin winning by over 2.5 points will resolve to 'Yes' if Wisconsin's lead exceeds that amount. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain active and resolve based on the actual second-quarter result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. All markets exclusively consider points scored during the second quarter, with no regard to the overall game outcome or points from other quarters.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, and can sometimes differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a smaller team of experts, and may be influenced by factors like house bias or marketing strategies. While sportsbooks aim to attract balanced action on both sides of a bet, this market allows anyone to express their view, potentially leading to odds that more accurately reflect the true probabilities as perceived by the crowd. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final second quarter spread of the Wisconsin vs Penn State football game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by a trusted sports data provider. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout of $1 per contract, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will receive $0. The platform will automatically process payouts based on the verified outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Wisconsin or Penn State football teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also shift the perceived advantage. Game-day developments, such as early scoring drives or unexpected turnovers, would undoubtedly cause rapid price adjustments. Public sentiment and betting trends, as reflected in sportsbook odds, can also contribute to movement in this market.