TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 8:40 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track how decisively either team wins the second half of a college football game, focusing solely on points scored after halftime. Each market has a different threshold for the point difference needed for a 'Yes' outcome.
All markets resolve based exclusively on points scored during the second half (including overtime) of the Wisconsin vs Penn St. college football game scheduled for Sep 26, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the winning team exceeds the specified point differential threshold for that market during this period. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, it remains active and resolves normally. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market incorporates the views of many individual traders. It’s common to see initial discrepancies, as sportsbooks may prioritize attracting action on both sides, while this market focuses purely on the perceived probability of the outcome. Over time, the two may converge, or prediction markets may reveal information not yet fully priced into sportsbook lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. Traders are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome, as profitable predictions result in financial gains. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity indicate the level of confidence traders have in various potential outcomes for the Wisconsin vs Penn State game.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread of the second half of the Wisconsin vs Penn State football game will be used to determine winning contracts. The official result, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will be the basis for settlement. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those on incorrect spreads will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Wisconsin or Penn State teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact the spread. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategy or coaching decisions could shift trader sentiment. Even public perception, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, can contribute to price fluctuations in this market.