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Wisconsin vs Penn St.: 1st Quarter Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Wisconsin vs Penn St.?

Volume:
$45,079

Penn St. wins 1Q by over 2.5 points

 - Kalshi

Penn St. wins 1Q by over 2.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 26, 2026

Closed: Sep 26, 5:46 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Penn St. wins 1Q by over 2.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,794
N/A
N/A
$10,346
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Penn St. wins 1Q by over 7.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,454
N/A
N/A
$14,645
Settled
No
kalshi

Penn St. wins 1Q by over 6.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,942
N/A
N/A
$8,226
Settled
No
kalshi

Penn St. wins 1Q by over 3.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,421
N/A
N/A
$1,949
Settled
No
kalshi

Wisconsin wins 1Q by over 2.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,921
N/A
N/A
$1,502
Settled
No
kalshi

Wisconsin wins 1Q by over 3.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,386
N/A
N/A
$1,385
Settled
No
kalshi

Penn St. wins 1Q by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,066
N/A
N/A
$1,055
Settled
No
kalshi

Wisconsin wins 1Q by over 6.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$463
N/A
N/A
$463
Settled
No
kalshi

Wisconsin wins 1Q by over 7.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$326
N/A
N/A
$326
Settled
No
kalshi

Wisconsin wins 1Q by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$306
N/A
N/A
$306
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

This set of markets focuses on predicting the outcome of the first quarter in an upcoming college football game. Each market evaluates different point spreads to determine which team will lead by a specific margin at the end of the first quarter.

Kalshi

These markets resolve based on the point differential between Wisconsin and Penn State in the first quarter of their college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific point spread threshold, with outcomes resolving to 'Yes' if the winning team exceeds the designated margin by more than the stated points. Only points scored during the first quarter count toward resolution. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, markets remain open and resolve based on the official result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The markets cover various thresholds for both teams, allowing for a range of possible outcomes regarding the first-quarter performance.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Wisconsin vs Penn State spread tracks the current price of contracts representing different point spreads for the first quarter of the game. You’ll find a real-time view of the odds, a price history chart showing how the market has moved over time, and the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $44,865. The total volume traded on this market is $45,079. This allows participants to gauge market sentiment and make informed decisions about buying or selling contracts related to the first quarter spread.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders seek to profit from price variations between the two types of markets.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where buyers and sellers submit bids and asks for contracts representing different point spreads. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information, leading to dynamic price fluctuations. The market depth and volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among traders regarding the likely outcome of the first quarter spread.

This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread of the first quarter of the Wisconsin vs Penn State football game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official result as reported by a trusted sports data source, ensuring an objective and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Wisconsin or Penn State teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact the spread. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could shift market sentiment. Even public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, can contribute to price fluctuations in this market.