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405,232
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Closed: Sep 6, 11:49 PM EST
Kalshi
The upcoming college football game between Wisconsin and Notre Dame will test both teams' offensive capabilities through the air. Bettors can speculate on whether either team will surpass various yardage thresholds in receiving yards during the match. The outcome depends purely on the game's statistical performance, with specific rules governing how the results are determined.
All markets resolve based on the official receiving yard totals accumulated by each team during the Wisconsin vs Notre Dame college football game scheduled for September 6, 2026. Receiving yards from both regulation time and the first or second overtime periods count toward each team's total, but successful two-point conversions—including those in overtime—do not contribute to the yardage totals. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final official result. If the game fails to start within the 48-hour window, all markets will settle at a fair price, determined independently for each threshold. These rules apply uniformly across all specified yardage thresholds for both teams.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Analyzing these differences can be insightful, as both sources attempt to forecast the same outcome – the total receiving yards in the Wisconsin vs Notre Dame game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different receiving yard totals. The price of each contract reflects the market's expectation of whether the actual receiving yards will fall above or below that total. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The current price indicates the probability of a specific outcome, allowing participants to express their views on the game’s potential yardage totals and profit from accurate predictions.
This market resolves around Sep 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final receiving yards total for both the Wisconsin and Notre Dame teams will be sourced from official game statistics. These statistics will be used to determine which contracts payout, based on whether the actual total exceeds or falls short of the contract’s specified yardage. Traders will then receive their payouts accordingly, reflecting the accuracy of their predictions in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries on either the Wisconsin or Notre Dame teams would likely cause significant movement, as the receiving corps' performance is directly impacted by player availability. Weather conditions, particularly strong winds or heavy rain, could also affect passing game strategies and thus the total receiving yards. Finally, any late-breaking analysis from sports analysts predicting a shift in offensive approach could influence trader behavior and move the market.