TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 11:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the defensive performance of both Wisconsin and Notre Dame in their college football matchup, focusing specifically on the number of interceptions each team achieves during the game. The outcome depends on whether either team reaches certain thresholds of interceptions, reflecting their ability to capitalize on opponent mistakes.
The event resolves based on the total number of defensive interceptions recorded by Wisconsin and Notre Dame during their college football game scheduled for September 6, 2026. For each market, a 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team records the required number of interceptions—either 1 or more, or 2 or more—as defined in the respective market rules. Interceptions made during overtime periods count toward the total, but those occurring during 2-point conversion attempts—even in overtime—do not. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains active and resolves according to the final official result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, the market resolves to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – and as the event draws closer, you may see the prices in this market converge with, diverge from, or even anticipate changes in sportsbook odds, depending on how traders interpret the new data.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of a specific outcome occurring – in this case, a certain number of interceptions. As more traders believe an outcome is likely, the price of contracts representing that outcome will increase. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective predictions of all participants. This creates a real-time assessment of the potential for interceptions in the Wisconsin vs Notre Dame game.
This market resolves around Sep 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final interception count from the Wisconsin vs Notre Dame game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct number of interceptions will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not. The precise details of how payouts are calculated are available on Kalshi.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. News regarding key defensive players for either Wisconsin or Notre Dame – such as injuries or suspensions – would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions that favor passing or running offenses, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or changes in team personnel might also move this market. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis regarding the teams' defensive capabilities could lead to price fluctuations.