TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 9:33 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the total points scored by both teams in the first half of an upcoming college football game. Each market has a different threshold for the points needed to trigger a 'Yes' outcome, allowing participants to bet on various levels of scoring intensity in the first half.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the first half of the Wisconsin vs Notre Dame college football game scheduled for September 6, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold (ranging from over 2.5 points to over 41.5 points) that must be exceeded for the market to resolve to 'Yes'. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the official final result. Should the game fail to start within the 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the threshold specified in their individual market.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market aggregates opinions from many individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when there’s a lot of uncertainty. However, as the event approaches, the odds on Kalshi tend to converge with those found at sportsbooks, as new information becomes available and more people participate in this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the 1st half total. The price of each contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time, providing a forward-looking assessment of the event’s potential results.
This market resolves around Sep 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official final score of the first half of the Wisconsin vs Notre Dame football game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The total points scored by both teams in the first half will be compared to the contract levels available on Kalshi to determine which contracts settle at 100 and which settle at 0. No further details regarding settlement are available.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Wisconsin or Notre Dame would likely cause movement, as would significant changes in weather forecasts for the game location. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team lineups could also influence trading activity. Finally, as the game draws closer, public sentiment and late-breaking news coverage could drive changes in the price of contracts on Kalshi, reflecting evolving expectations about the first half total.