TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 6, 12:43 PM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if Florian Wirtz records a strictly greater number of goals than Mohamed Salah across all matches at the 2026 FIFA World Cup main tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." Goals scored in penalty shootouts do not count toward this market. This market will resolve as soon as both Florian Wirtz and Mohamed Salah have completed their participation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup and official final goal totals are available. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, 23:59 UTC, or official final goal totals for Florian Wirtz and Mohamed Salah are not available within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "NO." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "YES" if Florian Wirtz records a strictly greater number of goals than Mohamed Salah across all matches at the 2026 FIFA World Cup main tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." Goals scored in penalty shootouts do not count toward this market. This market will resolve as soon as both Florian Wirtz and Mohamed Salah have completed their participation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup and official final goal totals are available. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, 23:59 UTC, or official final goal totals for Florian Wirtz and Mohamed Salah are not available within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "NO." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader sentiment rather than fixed odds set by oddsmakers. On Limitless, participants continuously adjust prices based on team news, player form, and injury reports, whereas sportsbooks may lag in updating their lines. This market's odds can serve as a leading indicator of where professional bookmakers may move their spreads, especially as the tournament draws closer and new information emerges about player fitness and squad composition.
On Limitless, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders submit buy and sell orders that determine the real-time probability of Wirtz outscoring Salah. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the marginal trader's willingness to accept risk at that moment, meaning early movers and late arrivals may see different odds depending on order flow and liquidity. As the World Cup nears, volatility and trading volume typically increase, which can widen or tighten spreads around the consensus probability.
This market resolves around Jul 20, 2026, after the 2026 World Cup concludes. The outcome is determined by comparing the official goal tallies for both players across all their tournament matches, with the result verified against credible public reporting from the tournament organizers and major sports media. Once the final standings are confirmed, the market settles in favor of whichever outcome the data supports, and all positions are closed.
Key catalysts include squad announcements and final roster selections, which confirm whether both players will compete. Injuries, transfers, or changes in playing time at club level can shift perceptions of tournament form. Qualifying matches and warm-up friendlies provide early performance data that traders use to reassess goal-scoring potential. Media narratives around tactical changes, managerial decisions, and head-to-head comparisons also influence trader positioning. As the tournament approaches, each team's group draw and fixture difficulty may alter expectations for how many goals each player is likely to score.