TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 4, 7:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of map 3 in an upcoming League of Legends match between Winthrop University and Cupid Esports. The match is part of the North American Challengers League 2026, scheduled for September 4, 2026. The market will resolve based on which team secures victory on this specific map.
If Winthrop University wins map 3 in the North American Challengers League 2026: Winthrop University vs. Cupid Esports League of Legends match originally scheduled for Sep 4, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Cupid Esports wins map 3 in the North American Challengers League 2026: Winthrop University vs. Cupid Esports League of Legends match originally scheduled for Sep 4, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house biases or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market allows participants to directly express their beliefs about the probability of each outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, opportunities for arbitrage may arise, as traders attempt to profit from the mispricing. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be perfectly accurate.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and spread can indicate the level of confidence traders have in each potential result. Essentially, the collective actions of traders determine the odds for the Map 3 market.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of Map 3 in the Winthrop University versus Cupid Esports match. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding contracts for the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. The final result will be clearly displayed on Kalshi.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team rosters, player performance, or strategic changes could shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about the game itself, such as map adjustments or rule changes, could also have an impact. Furthermore, significant shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by analyst predictions or social media discussion, could influence trader behavior. Major upsets in other matches featuring these teams leading up to the event could also move the market, as traders reassess their probabilities.