TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Winthrop Eagles vs. Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs (W)
Volume:
$661,519
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Winthrop Eagles and Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs scheduled for March 5, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. Markets on both Kalshi and Polymarket are predicting the outcome of this single game.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic assigns Yes to both possible game outcomes (either team winning), creating a logical contradiction that makes the market unresolvable. Polymarket correctly structures the market as a binary outcome between two specific teams.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market is broken and should not be traded. The platform likely intended to create two separate Yes/No markets (one for each team) but instead created a single market that resolves Yes regardless of outcome. Polymarket's structure is correct and tradeable. Avoid Kalshi until clarification or correction is issued.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Both Gardner-Webb winning and Winthrop winning resolve to Yes. Quote: 'If Gardner-Webb wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Winthrop wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' This is logically impossible for a binary market.
- Polymarket: Market resolves to the name of the winning team: either 'Winthrop Eagles' or 'Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs'. Includes edge case handling: postponement keeps market open, cancellation resolves 50-50. Quote: 'If the Winthrop Eagles win, the market will resolve to Winthrop Eagles. If the Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs win, the market will resolve to Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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