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399,592

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Winter Olympics 2026: XC - Men's 10km Interval Start Free
kalshi
polymarket

Winter Olympics 2026: XC - Men's 10km Interval Start Free

Volume:
$259,255

Johannes Hoesflot Klaebo

 - Kalshi

Johannes Hoesflot Klaebo - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 13, 2026

Will Johannes Hoesflot Klaebo win the gold medal in Cross Country Skiing Men's 10km interval start free?

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 100¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Johannes Hoesflot Klaebo

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$3,756
$2,153
0%
0%
$1,988
N/A
polymarket

Johannes Klaebo (NOR)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$44,523
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Thomas Maloney Westgaard (IRL)

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
$258,402
$2,289
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Hugo Lapalus (FRA)

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$34,679
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Harald Oestberg Amundsen (NOR)

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$26,556
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Martin Loewstroem Nyenget (NOR)

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$23,816
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Gus Schumacher (USA)

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$21,864
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Einer Hedegart (NOR)

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$18,703
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Victor Lovera (FRA)

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$13,403
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Niko Anttola (FIN)

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$11,685
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

William Poromaa (SWE)

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$11,310
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Florian Notz (GER)

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$10,130
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Martino Carollo (ITA)

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$7,484
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Friedrich Moch (GER)

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$7,264
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Einar Hedegart

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$7,806
$6,736
0%
0%
$5,285
N/A
polymarket

Mathis Desloges (FRA)

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$5,287
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Mika Vermuelen (AUT)

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$3,395
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Andrew Musgrave (GBR)

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$3,039
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Arsi Ruuskanen (FIN)

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$2,439
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Edvin Anger (SWE)

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$2,046
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Martin Loewstroem Nyenget

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$8,423
$420
0%
0%
$398
N/A
kalshi

Abdullah Yilmaz

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
-$4,900
$3
0%
0%
$3
N/A
kalshi

Artur Saparbekov

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
-$4,900
$3
0%
0%
$3
N/A
kalshi

Amirgali Muratbekov

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
-$4,900
$3
0%
0%
$3
N/A
kalshi

Adam Konya

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
-$4,900
$3
0%
0%
$3
N/A
Total markets: 25 of 147

Description

This event group covers prediction markets for the Men's 10km Interval Start Free Cross Country Skiing event at the 2026 Winter Olympics in Milano-Cortina. Markets resolve based on which athlete wins the gold medal in this specific discipline. Both Kalshi and Polymarket offer individual athlete winner markets with consistent resolution criteria tied to official IOC medal awards.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms use identical resolution logic: gold medal winner determination via official IOC records at the time of medal ceremony, with no post-ceremony amendments considered.Primary resolution logic: International Olympic Committee official website (https://www.olympics.com/)

Core resolution logic:

  • Market resolves YES if the named athlete is awarded the gold medal in Men's 10km Interval Start Free at 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics
  • Resolution is determined at the time of the official medal/podium ceremony
  • Subsequent disqualifications, appeals, or amendments after the ceremony are not considered for resolution purposes
  • Each athlete has an individual binary market; exactly one athlete will win gold
  • If multiple athletes are awarded gold (tie), Polymarket specifies alphabetical ordering of names as tiebreaker

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Event Postponement or Cancellation: If the event is postponed after March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET or canceled entirely, Polymarket markets resolve to OTHER; Kalshi markets resolve to NO. Both platforms treat this as a non-resolution scenario.
  • No Gold Medal Declared: If no gold medal is declared by March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, Polymarket resolves to OTHER; Kalshi resolves to NO.
  • Athlete Elimination or Disqualification Before Event: If a listed athlete becomes ineligible per IOC rules before the race (e.g., injury, doping ban), Polymarket resolves that market to NO. Kalshi does not explicitly address pre-event elimination but implies NO resolution.
  • Post-Ceremony Disqualification: Both platforms explicitly state that disqualifications or amendments occurring after the medal ceremony are not considered. The athlete who received gold at the ceremony is the resolution winner regardless of later actions.
  • Placeholder Markets on Polymarket: Polymarket includes 11 placeholder markets (Placeholder 1-15 excluding some numbers) with no named athlete. These will resolve based on whether an unlisted athlete wins gold; resolution depends on Polymarket's handling of unspecified winners.
Timing: Resolution occurs at the time of the official medal ceremony for the Men's 10km Interval Start Free event at the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics. Final resolution deadline is March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET; events not concluded by this time resolve to OTHER (Polymarket) or NO (Kalshi).Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.