TOTAL VOLUME:

$54.6b

24H VOL:

$283,259,638

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,235,549,422

505,521

Markets across

13,661

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

1,892

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

51%

VS.

Kalshi:

49%

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kalshi
polymarket
Trending

Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's Team Pursuit

Volume:
$119,430
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade

Description

This event group covers prediction markets on which country will win the gold medal in Women's Team Pursuit Speed Skating at the 2026 Winter Olympics in Milano-Cortina. Both Kalshi and Polymarket offer markets on the same core outcome: gold medal winner determination by the International Olympic Committee.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Kalshi and Polymarket resolve identically based on which country's team is awarded the gold medal by the IOC at the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics, with consistent handling of cancellations, postponements, and disqualifications.

Primary resolution logic:

International Olympic Committee official information (https://www.olympics.com/)

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is determined by which country wins the gold medal in Women's Team Pursuit Speed Skating at 2026 Winter Olympics
  • Kalshi lists 8 specific countries (USA, Japan, China PR, Netherlands, Belgium, Germany, Canada, Kazakhstan) that each resolve to Yes if they win gold
  • Polymarket offers individual markets for named countries (USA, Japan, Belgium, Netherlands, China, Canada, Germany, Kazakhstan, Norway, Italy) plus placeholder markets for additional competitors
  • Resolution source is official IOC medal ceremony announcement and records
  • Only the gold medal winner resolves to Yes; all other country markets resolve to No
  • If multiple countries are awarded gold (tie), Polymarket resolves in favor of the alphabetically first country name

Edge cases & Clarifications:

  • Event Postponement or Cancellation: If the event is postponed after March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET or canceled entirely, Polymarket resolves to Other; Kalshi resolves to No. Both platforms do not resolve based on preliminary or unofficial results.
  • Post-Medal Disqualification: Subsequent disqualifications or amendments after the medal ceremony are not considered. Resolution is locked at the time of the official medal ceremony.
  • Tie for Gold Medal: If multiple countries are awarded gold, Polymarket resolves in favor of the alphabetically first country name. Kalshi does not explicitly address this scenario but would apply standard tie-breaking per IOC rules.
  • Placeholder Markets: Polymarket includes 15 placeholder markets (Placeholder 1-15) representing potential additional competing countries. These resolve to No unless that country wins gold.
  • Someone Else Market: Polymarket includes a 'Will someone else win' market that resolves to Yes if any country not explicitly named wins gold, and to No if one of the named countries wins.

Timing:

Resolution occurs at the time of the official medal ceremony for Women's Team Pursuit Speed Skating at the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics. The deadline for resolution is March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET; if the event has not concluded by this time, Polymarket resolves to Other and Kalshi resolves to No.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.