TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating ST - Men's 1500m
kalshi
polymarket

Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating ST - Men's 1500m

Volume:
$84,409

Jens Van’t Wout (NED)

 - Polymarket

Jens Van’t Wout (NED) - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 15, 2026

Will Jens Van’t Wout (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating ST - Men's 1500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 100¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Jens Van’t Wout (NED)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,110
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Zhongyan Ning

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,920
0%
0%
$3,210
N/A
kalshi

Jordan Stolz

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26,942
0%
0%
$19,121
N/A
polymarket

Reinis Berzins (LAT)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,746
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Itzhak De Laat (NED)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,934
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Kjeld Nuis

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,557
0%
0%
$2,448
N/A
polymarket

William Dandjinou (CAN)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,525
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Felix Roussel (CAN)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,344
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Luca Spechenhauser (ITA)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,259
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Roberts Kruzbergs (LAT)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,057
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Wonjung Moon (HUN)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,056
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Jongun Rim (KOR)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,899
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Michal Niewinski (POL)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,595
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Shaoang Liu (CHN)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,595
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Pietro Sighel (ITA)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,493
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Brandon Kim (USA)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,033
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Brendan Corey (AUS)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$955
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Maxime Laoun (CAN)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$936
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Quentin Fercog (FRA)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$934
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Joep Wennemars

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$882
0%
0%
$872
N/A
polymarket

Clayton De Clemente (USA)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$813
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Daeheon Hwang (KOR)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$734
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Long Sun (CHN)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$723
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Niall Treacy (GBR)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$703
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Stijn Desmet (BEL)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$663
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 25 of 69

Description

This event group covers prediction markets for the Men's 1500m Speed Skating competition at the 2026 Winter Olympics in Milano-Cortina. Both Kalshi and Polymarket offer binary markets on whether specific athletes will win the gold medal, with Kalshi listing 28 named competitors and Polymarket offering 33 named competitors plus placeholders and an 'someone else' catch-all option.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Participant roster mismatch between platforms and structural differences in market design. Kalshi lists 28 named competitors with minimal edge-case guidance; Polymarket lists 33 named competitors, 15 placeholders, and a catch-all 'someone else' option with explicit disqualification, tie-breaking, and cancellation rules.Hero tip: Cross-reference your athlete across both platforms before trading. Kalshi offers no explicit disqualification or cancellation clause, while Polymarket resolves disqualifications to No and cancellations after March 31, 2026 to Other. If betting on an athlete not listed on Kalshi, Polymarket's 'someone else' option may be your only hedge. Verify athlete eligibility and IOC status regularly.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: 28 named athletes listed. Each market: If [Athlete] wins gold, resolves Yes. No explicit rules for disqualification, tie-breaking, postponement, or cancellation. Resolution source not specified.
  • Polymarket: 33 named athletes, 15 placeholders, and 'someone else' option. Explicit rules: disqualifications resolve to No; multiple gold medals resolve alphabetically by first name; postponement after March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET or cancellation resolves to Other. Source: official IOC (olympics.com).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.