TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers prediction markets for the Men's 1500m Speed Skating competition at the 2026 Winter Olympics in Milano-Cortina. Both Kalshi and Polymarket offer binary markets on whether specific athletes will win the gold medal, with Kalshi listing 28 named competitors and Polymarket offering 33 named competitors plus placeholders and an 'someone else' catch-all option.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Participant roster mismatch between platforms and structural differences in market design. Kalshi lists 28 named competitors with minimal edge-case guidance; Polymarket lists 33 named competitors, 15 placeholders, and a catch-all 'someone else' option with explicit disqualification, tie-breaking, and cancellation rules.Hero Tip:
Cross-reference your athlete across both platforms before trading. Kalshi offers no explicit disqualification or cancellation clause, while Polymarket resolves disqualifications to No and cancellations after March 31, 2026 to Other. If betting on an athlete not listed on Kalshi, Polymarket's 'someone else' option may be your only hedge. Verify athlete eligibility and IOC status regularly.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
28 named athletes listed. Each market: If [Athlete] wins gold, resolves Yes. No explicit rules for disqualification, tie-breaking, postponement, or cancellation. Resolution source not specified.Polymarket:
33 named athletes, 15 placeholders, and 'someone else' option. Explicit rules: disqualifications resolve to No; multiple gold medals resolve alphabetically by first name; postponement after March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET or cancellation resolves to Other. Source: official IOC (olympics.com).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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