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$133,388,117

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405,232

Markets across

30,526

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2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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Winter Olympics 2026: Ski Big Air - Women's
kalshi
polymarket

Winter Olympics 2026: Ski Big Air - Women's

Volume:
$838,750

Megan Oldham

 - Kalshi

Megan Oldham - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 17, 2026

Will Megan Oldham win the gold medal in Freestyle Skiing Women's Freeski Big Air?

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 100¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Megan Oldham

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
-$7,909
$86,700
0%
0%
$53,449
N/A
polymarket

Megan Oldhamm (CAN)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,039
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Ailing Eileen Gu

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$8,144
$309,158
0%
0%
$192,128
N/A
kalshi

Mathilde Gremaud

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
-$22,850
$123,584
0%
0%
$83,752
N/A
kalshi

Kirsty Muir

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$2,720
$71,996
0%
0%
$58,712
N/A
kalshi

Flora Tabanelli

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$4,717
$54,402
0%
0%
$36,248
N/A
kalshi

Lara Wolf

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
-$934
$27,571
0%
0%
$23,076
N/A
polymarket

Eileen Gu (CHN)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25,506
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Mathilde Gremaud (SUI)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,690
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Flora Tabanelli (ITA)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,601
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Mengting Liu

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$2,313
$10,358
0%
0%
$6,894
N/A
kalshi

Anni Karava

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
-$6,579
$9,937
0%
0%
$6,600
N/A
kalshi

Naomi Urness

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
-$11,609
$8,144
0%
0%
$7,514
N/A
polymarket

Liu Mengting (CHN)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,843
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Lara Wolf (AUT)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,287
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Naomi Urness (CAN)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,837
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Anni Karava (FIN)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,988
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Avery Krumme

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
-$7,307
$3,890
0%
0%
$3,890
N/A
kalshi

Anouk Andraska

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$1,465
$2,778
0%
0%
$2,778
N/A
polymarket

Kirsty Muir (GBR)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,764
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Sarah Höfflin

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
-$5,084
$2,698
0%
0%
$2,679
N/A
polymarket

Sandra Eie (NOR)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,331
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Maria Gasslitter

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
-$520
$2,157
0%
0%
$2,112
N/A
polymarket

Kelly Sildaru (EST)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,851
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Kateryna Kotsar (UKR)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,725
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 25 of 70

Description

This event group covers prediction markets for the Women's Freeski Big Air gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics in Milano-Cortina. Both Kalshi and Polymarket offer markets on whether specific athletes will win the gold medal, with Kalshi presenting a single binary outcome across 31 named athletes and Polymarket offering individual yes/no markets for each athlete plus a catch-all 'someone else' option.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms resolve to the same underlying event—the official IOC-awarded gold medal for Women's Freeski Big Air at 2026 Milano-Cortina—with consistent source authority and medal-ceremony timing, though Polymarket includes explicit handling for postponement, cancellation, and alphabetical tie-breaking.Primary resolution logic: International Olympic Committee official records and medal ceremony declaration (https://www.olympics.com/)

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is determined by which athlete is awarded the gold medal at the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics Women's Freeski Big Air event
  • The resolution source is the official IOC announcement and medal ceremony at the time of the event
  • Kalshi resolves 'Yes' if any of the 31 named athletes wins gold; Polymarket offers individual yes/no markets for each athlete plus a catch-all 'someone else' option
  • Subsequent disqualifications, amendments, or appeals after the medal ceremony are not considered for resolution
  • In case of multiple gold medal awards, Polymarket applies alphabetical ordering by participant name as listed in the market

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Event postponement or cancellation: If the event is postponed after March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET or canceled entirely, Polymarket resolves to 'Other'. Kalshi does not explicitly address this scenario in provided rules.
  • No gold medal declared: If no gold medal is declared within the timeframe specified (by March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET per Polymarket), Polymarket resolves to 'Other'.
  • Athlete elimination or ineligibility: If a listed athlete becomes ineligible per IOC rules before or during the event, Polymarket resolves 'No' for that athlete's market. Kalshi does not explicitly address this.
  • Placeholder markets on Polymarket: Polymarket includes 8 placeholder markets (Placeholder 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15) with no named athlete. These are likely reserved for late-entry competitors or data corrections and should resolve based on the actual gold medalist if a placeholder corresponds to that athlete.
  • Typo in Polymarket athlete name: Polymarket lists 'Megan Oldhamm' (with double 'm') while Kalshi lists 'Megan Oldham' (single 'm'). This is a minor data integrity issue but both refer to the same athlete; resolution should treat them as identical.
Timing: Resolution occurs at the time of the medal ceremony for the Women's Freeski Big Air event at the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics. Polymarket specifies a hard deadline of March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET; if the event has not concluded by then, the market resolves to 'Other'.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.