Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Women's 4 X 6km Relay
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$86,602
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24h
7d
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Description
This event group covers prediction markets on which country will win the gold medal in the Women's 4×6km Biathlon Relay at the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics. Both Polymarket and Kalshi offer markets on individual countries and outcomes, with resolution tied to the official medal award at the time of the podium ceremony.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms resolve to the country awarded the gold medal by the IOC at the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics Women's 4×6km Biathlon Relay, with resolution finalized at the podium ceremony and no post-ceremony amendments considered.
Primary resolution logic:
International Olympic Committee official records and medal ceremonies (olympics.com)
Core resolution logic:
Resolution is determined by which country's team is awarded the gold medal at the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics Women's 4×6km Biathlon Relay
Resolution occurs at the time of the official medal/podium ceremony
The resolution source is the official International Olympic Committee (olympics.com)
Subsequent disqualifications, amendments, or appeals after the ceremony are not considered
For Polymarket: if multiple countries are awarded gold, the country whose name comes first alphabetically resolves to Yes
For Polymarket: if the event is postponed after March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or no gold medal is declared by that deadline, the market resolves to Other
For Kalshi: each country-specific market resolves to Yes if that country wins gold, implicitly No otherwise
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Event Postponement or Cancellation: Polymarket explicitly resolves to Other if the event is postponed after March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or canceled. Kalshi does not explicitly address this scenario; standard market practice would be to resolve based on IOC guidance at the time.
Tied Gold Medals: If multiple countries are awarded gold (extremely rare in relay events), Polymarket resolves in favor of the country whose name comes first alphabetically. Kalshi does not explicitly address this edge case.
Participant Elimination: If a listed participant is eliminated per IOC rules before the event, Polymarket resolves that market to No. Kalshi does not explicitly address pre-event eliminations.
Placeholder Markets: Polymarket includes 15 placeholder markets (Placeholder 1-15) with no defined country. These cannot be resolved until placeholders are replaced with actual country names or remain unresolved if never defined.
Post-Ceremony Disqualification: Both platforms do not consider disqualifications or amendments that occur after the medal ceremony, per explicit Polymarket language and standard Olympic practice.
Timing:
Resolution occurs at the time of the official medal/podium ceremony for the Women's 4×6km Biathlon Relay at the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics. For Polymarket, if the event is not completed and gold medal awarded by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to Other.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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