TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Winter Games 2026: Speed Skating ST - Women's 3000m Relay? Odds & Prediction Markets
Description
This event group covers prediction markets on the 2026 Winter Olympics Women's 3000m Short Track Speed Skating Relay event. Kalshi offers a binary YES/NO market on whether any of eight specified countries (Canada, Netherlands, France, Japan, USA, China PR, Korea Republic, Italy) wins a medal. Polymarket offers multiple binary markets asking whether specific countries win the gold medal, plus placeholder entries and a catch-all 'someone else' option.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Scope divergence: Kalshi covers any medal for 8 countries; Polymarket covers gold medal only for named countries plus 15 undefined placeholders. Additionally, Polymarket contains unresolved placeholder entries that cannot be audited.Hero Tip:
Do not assume Kalshi and Polymarket markets are interchangeable. Kalshi YES requires only a medal (any color) from one of eight countries. Polymarket YES requires gold specifically. A silver or bronze medalist for Canada, Netherlands, France, Japan, USA, China, Korea, or Italy triggers Kalshi YES but Polymarket NO. Avoid arbitrage assumptions. Also note that Polymarket's 15 placeholder entries are data integrity risks—clarify what countries they represent before trading.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Binary YES/NO on whether any of eight named countries (Canada, Netherlands, France, Japan, USA, China PR, Korea Republic, Italy) wins ANY MEDAL (gold, silver, or bronze) in the Women's 3000m relay. Resolves YES if any one of these eight countries finishes on the podium. No placeholder entries; all countries explicitly named.Polymarket:
Multiple binary markets, each asking if a specific country wins the GOLD MEDAL only. Includes 16 named countries/entities (Netherlands, Kazakhstan, France, Ukraine, Korea, Germany, Japan, Canada, Italy, Hungary, China, Poland, USA, and 'someone else') plus 15 undefined placeholder entries (Placeholder 1-15). Resolution requires gold medal specifically, not any medal. Placeholders lack defined country names, creating audit risk.
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