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402,751

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Winter Games 2026: Speed Skating ST - Women's 1500m
kalshi
polymarket

Winter Games 2026: Speed Skating ST - Women's 1500m

Volume:
$67,081

Gilli Kim (KOR)

 - Polymarket

Gilli Kim (KOR) - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 21, 2026

Will Gilli Kim (KOR) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating ST - Women's 1500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 100¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Gilli Kim (KOR)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,579
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Antoinette Rijpma-de Jong

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,738
0%
0%
$5,230
N/A
kalshi

Miho Takagi

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,719
0%
0%
$9,243
N/A
kalshi

Francesca Lollobrigida

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,101
0%
0%
$10,733
N/A
kalshi

Brittany Bowe

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,896
0%
0%
$4,785
N/A
polymarket

Minjeong Choi (KOR)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,786
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Ragne Wiklund

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,665
0%
0%
$1,983
N/A
polymarket

Arianna Fontana (ITA)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,293
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Hanne Desmet (BEL)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,943
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Courtney Sarault (CAN)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,791
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Xandra Velzeboer (NED)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,292
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Femke Kok

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,268
0%
0%
$1,243
N/A
polymarket

Zoe Florence Deltrap (NED)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,106
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Elisa Confortola (ITA)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,011
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Corinne Stoddard (USA)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$991
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Gloria Ioriatti (ITA)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$990
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Jingru Yang (CHN)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$684
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Michelle Velzeboer (NED)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$682
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Kristen Santos-Griswold (USA)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$667
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Ayano Sato

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$640
0%
0%
$530
N/A
kalshi

Joy Beune

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$467
0%
0%
$467
N/A
kalshi

Greta Myers

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$427
0%
0%
$396
N/A
polymarket

Mirei Nakashima (JPN)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$375
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Li Gong (CHN)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$324
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Gabriela Topolska (POL)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$320
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 25 of 61

Description

This event group covers prediction markets for the Women's 1500m Speed Skating competition at the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics. Both Kalshi and Polymarket offer binary markets on whether specific athletes will win the gold medal, with Kalshi listing 29 named competitors and Polymarket using a mix of named athletes and numbered placeholders to represent the full field.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms converge on the same core resolution: the athlete whose name appears on the official IOC medal certificate at the 2026 Milano-Cortina Women's 1500m Speed Skating ceremony. Kalshi's 29 named athletes and Polymarket's combination of named athletes plus placeholders represent overlapping subsets of the expected competitor pool, with no contradictory resolution logic.Primary resolution logic: International Olympic Committee official records and medal ceremony documentation (https://www.olympics.com/)

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution occurs at the moment the gold medal is awarded and announced at the official medal ceremony for Women's 1500m Speed Skating at 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics
  • The market resolves YES if the named athlete wins the gold medal; NO if any other athlete wins or the named athlete is eliminated per IOC rules
  • Subsequent disqualifications, appeals, or amendments after the ceremony are not considered for resolution purposes
  • If multiple athletes are awarded gold (rare tie scenario), Polymarket applies alphabetical ordering by listed name; Kalshi's individual athlete markets each resolve independently based on whether that specific athlete is among the gold medalists

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Event postponement or cancellation: Polymarket explicitly resolves to Other if the event is postponed after March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET or canceled. Kalshi does not specify this scenario; assume standard cancellation protocol (likely No resolution or event void).
  • Tied gold medals: Polymarket resolves in favor of the participant whose listed name comes first alphabetically. Kalshi's named-athlete structure means each athlete market resolves independently: YES if that athlete is among the gold medalists, NO otherwise.
  • Athlete elimination or ineligibility: If a listed athlete is eliminated per IOC rules before or during the event, their corresponding market resolves NO.
  • Placeholder resolution (Polymarket only): Polymarket uses numbered placeholders (Placeholder 1–15) to represent athletes not explicitly named. These resolve YES only if the corresponding unnamed athlete wins gold. The mapping of placeholders to actual athletes is not provided in source data and must be clarified by Polymarket before event.
Timing: Resolution occurs at the official medal ceremony for Women's 1500m Speed Skating at 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics. Polymarket enforces a hard deadline: if no gold medal is declared by March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to Other. Kalshi does not specify a deadline but follows standard Olympic resolution timing (ceremony date).Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.