TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Winter Games 2026: Speed Skating - Men's 1500m
polymarket
kalshi

Winter Games 2026: Speed Skating - Men's 1500m

Volume:
$120,521

Zhongyan Ning (CHN)

 - Polymarket

Zhongyan Ning (CHN) - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 19, 2026

Will Zhongyan Ning (CHN) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's 1500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 100¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Zhongyan Ning (CHN)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$39,765
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

China PR

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,313
0%
0%
$2,998
N/A
polymarket

Jordan Stolz (USA)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,639
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

United States

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,503
0%
0%
$9,083
N/A
polymarket

Joep Wennemars (NED)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,412
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Kjeld Nuis (NED)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,842
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Peder Kongshaug (NOR)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,140
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Tijmen Snel (NED)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,995
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Netherlands

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,699
0%
0%
$3,696
N/A
polymarket

Min-Seok Kim (HUN)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,573
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Finn Sonnekalb (GER)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,391
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Kazuya Yamada (JPN)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,433
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Taiyo Nonomura (JPN)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,430
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Gabriel Odor (AUT)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,318
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Alexander Farthofer (AUT)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,245
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Daniele Di Stefano (ITA)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,926
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Korea Republic

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,060
0%
0%
$1,060
N/A
kalshi

Canada

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$509
0%
0%
$509
N/A
kalshi

Norway

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$166
0%
0%
$166
N/A
kalshi

Italy

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$139
0%
0%
$139
N/A
kalshi

Belgium

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23
0%
0%
$23
N/A
polymarket

Placeholder 1

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Placeholder 3

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Placeholder 5

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Placeholder 7

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 25 of 43

Description

This event group covers prediction markets for the Men's 1500m Speed Skating gold medal at the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics. Polymarket offers individual participant-level markets (named athletes plus 15 placeholders), while Kalshi offers country-level markets. Both resolve based on the official IOC medal ceremony outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi operate at different levels of granularity (individual athlete vs. country). Additionally, Polymarket includes 15 unidentified placeholder participants, creating data integrity risk if those placeholders are never populated with real athlete names.Hero tip: Treat these as separate markets with different risk profiles. Polymarket's placeholder markets are unresolvable without official roster data; Kalshi's country-level markets are simpler but mask individual athlete outcomes. Monitor official IOC athlete registration before the event to assess Polymarket placeholder risk.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Individual athlete-level resolution. Named athletes (Zhongyan Ning, Kazuya Yamada, Finn Sonnekalb, Min-Seok Kim, Taiyo Nonomura, Gabriel Odor, Daniele Di Stefano, Peder Kongshaug, Joep Wennemars, Kjeld Nuis, Jordan Stolz, Tijmen Snel, Alexander Farthofer) plus 15 unnamed placeholders. Resolves YES if that specific athlete wins gold; NO if eliminated per IOC rules. Tie-breaking by alphabetical order of athlete name. Catch-all 'someone else' market for unlisted winners. Key quote: 'If multiple participants are awarded the gold medal, this market will resolve in favor of the participant whose listed name comes first alphabetically.'
  • Kalshi: Country-level resolution across 14 nations (Norway, Canada, Netherlands, Czechia, Belgium, Austria, United States, Poland, Japan, France, Germany, China PR, Korea Republic, Italy). Resolves YES if that nation's athlete wins gold, regardless of which individual athlete from that nation. No tie-breaking or placeholder mechanism.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.