TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Winter Games 2026: Curling - Men's
Volume:
$876,549
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers prediction markets for which country will win the gold medal in Men's Curling at the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics. Both Polymarket and Kalshi offer markets on named countries (Canada, Switzerland, Sweden, Norway, Germany, USA, China, Italy, Czechia, Great Britain) plus Polymarket includes 15 placeholder participants for unlisted teams. Resolution depends on the official medal award from the International Olympic Committee.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms use identical resolution criteria: the country officially awarded the gold medal by the IOC at the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics. Named countries overlap completely; Polymarket includes additional placeholder slots for other eligible nations.
Primary resolution logic:
International Olympic Committee official records (https://www.olympics.com/)Core resolution logic:
- Exactly one country wins the gold medal in Men's Curling at 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics
- Resolution determined by official medal award at the podium ceremony
- Subsequent disqualifications or amendments after medal ceremony are not considered
- If multiple countries are awarded gold (tie), Polymarket resolves to the alphabetically first name; Kalshi treats as single winner per IOC protocol
- Named countries on both platforms (Canada, Switzerland, Sweden, Norway, Germany, USA, China, Italy, Czechia, Great Britain) resolve identically
- Polymarket placeholder participants (1-15) represent additional eligible nations not explicitly named on either platform
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Event Postponement/Cancellation: If Men's Curling is postponed after March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET or canceled without a gold medal declaration, Polymarket resolves to 'Other'; Kalshi resolves to 'No' on all markets.
- Participant Elimination: If a listed participant is eliminated per IOC rules before medal award, their corresponding market resolves to 'No' on both platforms.
- Alphabetical Tie-Breaking: Polymarket specifies alphabetical resolution if multiple participants are awarded gold; Kalshi assumes single IOC-certified winner per standard Olympic protocol.
- Placeholder Participant Identity: Polymarket's 15 placeholders represent eligible nations not explicitly named; resolution depends on which nation actually competes and wins.
Timing:
Resolution occurs at the time of the official medal/podium ceremony for Men's Curling at 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics, no later than March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. If no medal is declared by this deadline, Polymarket resolves to 'Other' and Kalshi resolves to 'No'.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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